FY07-09 proposal 199107300

Jump to Reviews and Recommendations

Section 1. Administrative

Proposal titleIdaho Natural Production Monit
Proposal ID199107300
OrganizationIdaho Department of Fish & Game
Short descriptionWe propose to refine the description of population structure of spring/summer Chinook in Idaho, monitor juvenile production of Chinook/steelhead, evaluate survival/productivity of Chinook, and estimate annual abundance of Chinook redds in the upper Salmon
Information transferAll activities will be documented in annual narrative reports. Some portions will be presented at professional meetings and submitted for peer-reviewed publication. Data will be maintained in IDFG databases and will be made available through StreamNet.
Proposal contact person or principal investigator
Contacts
ContactOrganizationEmail
Form submitter
Tim Copeland Idaho Department of Fish & Game tcopeland@idfg.idaho.gov
All assigned contacts
Tim Copeland Idaho Department of Fish & Game tcopeland@idfg.idaho.gov
Jody White Idaho Department of Fish & Game jodywhite@idfg.idaho.gov

Section 2. Locations

Province / subbasin: Mountain Snake / Salmon

LatitudeLongitudeWaterbodyDescription
455123 1164733 Salmon River sub-basin
462531 1170210 Clearwater sub-basin

Section 3. Focal species

primary: Chinook Snake River Spring/Summer ESU
primary: Steelhead Snake River ESU

Section 4. Past accomplishments

YearAccomplishments
2005 Presented steelhead PIT tag data at national AFS meeting. Produced a stock-recruit model showing density-dependence in the freshwater productivity of the Snake River spring/summer Chinook salmon.
2004 Maintained and extended the General Parr Monitoring data base, showing trends in juvenile salmonid densities in Idaho 1985-2004. Placed over 16k PIT tags in juvenile steelhead from remote locations not accessible by conventional sampling since 2002.
2003 PIT tagged over 33k wild steelhead parr since 1999. Develop highly accurate age data (>97% accurate on known-age fish). Complete run reconstructions and estimate SAR for migratory years 1996-2000.
2002 Estimated parr densities and percent of carrying capacity since 1985. Steelhead densities decreased in 8 of 9 generations, chinook densities decreased in 8 of 10 generations.
2001 Begin development of a stock/recruit curve for natural production of spring/summer chinook smolts since brood year 1990. Use age data to reconstruct runs and estimate SARs for migratory years 1996-1999.
2000 Began aging Snake River spring and summer chinook salmon to improve run reconstruction analysis. PIT tag 6033 wild steelhead parr.
1999 Published Snake River spring and summer chinook salmon article in Fisheries. Developed a D-value calculation model. PIT tag 6528 wild steelhead parr.
1998 Completed model for estimating smolt-to-adult return rate by migration route.
1997 Identified decreased survival associated with multiple collection and bypass. Verified PATH chinook salmon smolt-to-adult recovery goals with Snake River basin smolts/female estimates.
1996 [Accomplishment field left blank]
1995 [Accomplishment field left blank]
1994 Documented adult chinook and steelhead escapement to three pristine wilderness streams during 1994-1996.
1993 Determined release strategies for hatchery chinook smolts and adults to increase survival and production.
1992 Identified differences in peak arrival time to Lower Granite dam between hatchery and wild chinook.
1991 [Accomplishment field left blank]
1990 [Accomplishment field left blank]
1989 Estimated seeding level for A-run and B-run steelhead in specific rearing areas.
1988 Identified factors affecting survival of chinook and steelhead parr, estimated chinook egg-to-parr survival in the headwaters of the Salmon River and Crooked River, and estimated survival impacts due to irrigation diversions.
1987 [Accomplishment field left blank]
1986 [Accomplishment field left blank]
1985 Documented the relative success of instream structures versus off-channel habitat development to increase parr production.
1984 The general parr monitoring database was started in 1984 and continues today. It represents the most comprehensive salmon and steelhead database in Idaho and is the only longterm database for steelhead.

Section 5. Relationships to other projects

Funding sourceRelated IDRelated titleRelationship
BPA 198909800 Salmon Studies Id Rvrs IDFC Cooperate with planning & field work. Share data.
BPA 198909801 Salmon Studies Id Rvrs USFWS Cooperate with planning & field work. Share data.
BPA 198909802 Salmon Studies Id Rvrs NPT Cooperate with planning & field work. Share data.
BPA 198909803 Salmon Studies Id Rvrs SBT Cooperate with planning & field work. Share data.
BPA 199005500 Id Steelhead M&E Studies Cooperate with planning & field work. Share data.
BPA 199902000 Analyze Persistence/Dynamics S Cooperate with field work. Share data.
BPA 200204900 Eval Precision Bias Chinook Cooperate with field work. Share data.
BPA 199405000 Salmon River Habitat Enhance Cooperate with field work. Share data.
BPA 200301700 Integrated Status/Effect Progr Participate on Technical Oversight Committee for this project. Will cooperate in field work & share data.
BPA 200303600 CBFWA Monitor/Eval Program Participate on habitat work group of this project. Share data.
PCSRF - Idaho 015 04 SA Lemhi River Effectiveness Moni Supply technical expertise & planning. Share data.
PCSRF - Idaho 014 04 SA Implement Salmon and Steelhead Technical support for plan development.
Other: PSC NA77FP0445 Salmon spawning ground surveys Cooperate with field work. Share data.
BPA 198712700 Smolt Monitoring By Non-Feder Share data.
Other: USFWS 14110-6-J009 IDFG LSRCP Hatchery RM&E Share data.
Other: USFWS 14110-6-J008 IDFG LSRCP Hatchery O&M Coordinate field work. Collect salmon carcasses at hatchery weirs.
Other: Idaho Power [no entry] Rapid River & Pahsimeroi hatcheries Coordinate field work. Collect salmon carcasses at hatchery weirs.
BPA 199604302 Johnson Cr Artificial Propagat Coordinate field work. Share data.
BPA 200206200 Chinook Return Quantification Coordinate field work. Share data.
BPA 199700100 Idaho Chinook Salmon Captive R Coordinate field work. Share data.
BPA 199703000 Listed Stock Adult Escapement Coordinate field work. Share data.
BPA 199800702 Gd Ronde Supp Lostine O&M/M&E Coordinate field work.
BPA 199701501 Imnaha R Smolt Monitoring NPT Coordinate field work.
BPA 199202604 Life Studies of Spring Chinook Coordinate field work.
BPA 198810804 Streamnet (CIS/NED) Share data.
BPA 198335003 Nez Perce Tribal Hatchery M&E Coordinate field work. Share data.
Other: USFWS 200107 & 200109 Nez Perce LSRCP Hatchery RM&E Coordinate field work. Share data.

Section 6. Biological objectives

Biological objectivesFull descriptionAssociated subbasin planStrategy
Decribe sp/su Chinook population structure The initial delineation of local population structure was developed by the ICBTRT (2003) based on incomplete data and several assumptions. As such, the delineations represent testable hypotheses regarding salmon biology and ecology. We propose to gather three types of relevant data at the population level: genetic diversity, morphological variation, and age-length data. Salmon 1A2, 1B4, 2A1 (Also Clearwater plan strategies A2 [p14], D4 [p21])
Evaluate Chinook life cycle survival/productivity This is an evaluation that puts together and interprets data generated from other objectives in a form suitable for management evaluation. The results are invaluable for assessing stock status and the impact of tributary management actions on them. There are two components: estimate smolt-adult return rates and update a Beverton-Holt stock-recruit model. Salmon 1A2, 1B4, 3A2, 3C2, 3C3, 4A5 (also Clearwater plan strategies A2 [p14], D4 [p21])
Monitor juvenile production of Chinook & steelhead Screw traps cannot be deployed everywhere in the Idaho wilderness. This objective is general trend monitoring that focuses on density of juvenile salmonids at selected sampling sites in the Clearwater and Salmon sub-basins. By incorporating probabilistic site selection, species distributions can be assessed, also. Statistical techniques developed by EPA personnel (EMAP program) have been promoted and are in increasing use across the basin. This element will improve the usefulness and relevance of data collected. There are two components to this objective. Salmon 3A1, 3C1, 4A5, 4B1, 4C1 (also Clearwater strategies B3, B4, B7, D4, E1, F4 [p18-23])

Section 7. Work elements (coming back to this)

Work element nameWork element titleDescriptionStart dateEnd dateEst budget
Produce Environmental Compliance Documentation Project Permitting Apply for all necessary ESA permits 7/1/2007 6/30/2010 $3,000
Biological objectives
Decribe sp/su Chinook population structure
Metrics
Manage and Administer Projects Annual Project Planning Schedule and coordinate activities 7/1/2007 6/30/2010 $25,530
Biological objectives
Decribe sp/su Chinook population structure
Evaluate Chinook life cycle survival/productivity
Monitor juvenile production of Chinook & steelhead
Metrics
Produce Annual Report Annual Progress Report This element includes annual progress reports, quarterly status reports, and professional communications, such as presentations and publications. 7/1/2007 6/30/2010 $138,000
Biological objectives
Decribe sp/su Chinook population structure
Evaluate Chinook life cycle survival/productivity
Monitor juvenile production of Chinook & steelhead
Metrics
Create/Manage/Maintain Database Data Management [Work Element Description Not Entered] 7/1/2007 6/30/2010 $97,050
Biological objectives
Decribe sp/su Chinook population structure
Monitor juvenile production of Chinook & steelhead
Metrics
Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Collect Age Structure & Morphological Data [Work Element Description Not Entered] 7/1/2007 6/30/2010 $752,550
Biological objectives
Decribe sp/su Chinook population structure
Metrics
Primary R, M, and E Type: Status & trend monitoring
Secondary R, M, and E Type: Uncertainties research
Focal Area: Tributaries
Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Genetic Population Analysis [Work Element Description Not Entered] 7/1/2007 6/30/2010 $113,670
Biological objectives
Decribe sp/su Chinook population structure
Metrics
Primary R, M, and E Type: Status and trend monitoring
Secondary R, M, and E Type: Uncertainties research
Focal Area: Tributaries
Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data General Parr Monitoring [Work Element Description Not Entered] 7/1/2007 6/30/2010 $1,117,050
Biological objectives
Monitor juvenile production of Chinook & steelhead
Metrics
Primary R, M, and E Type: Status and trend monitoring
Secondary R, M, and E Type: Action effectiveness research
Focal Area: Tributaries
Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Stock-Recruit & SAR Analysis [Work Element Description Not Entered] 7/1/2007 6/30/2010 $25,380
Biological objectives
Evaluate Chinook life cycle survival/productivity
Metrics
Primary R, M, and E Type: Action effectiveness research
Secondary R, M, and E Type: Uncertainties research
Focal Area: Tributaries
Analyze/Interpret Data Project Data Analysis [Work Element Description Not Entered] 7/1/2007 6/30/2010 $81,690
Biological objectives
Decribe sp/su Chinook population structure
Evaluate Chinook life cycle survival/productivity
Monitor juvenile production of Chinook & steelhead
Metrics
Primary R, M, and E Type: Status and trend monitoring
Primary R, M, and E Type: Action effectiveness research
Secondary R, M, and E Type: Uncertainties research
Focal Area: Tributaries

Section 8. Budgets

Itemized estimated budget
ItemNoteFY07FY08FY09
Personnel 51 mos of permanent employee time, 110 mos for temporaries $479,380 $479,380 $479,380
Supplies Supplies, vehicle costs, rent & utilities $81,700 $81,700 $81,700
Travel Airfare, lodging, per diem, camp groceries $54,380 $54,380 $54,380
Other Statistical consulting & miscellaneous expenses $33,000 $33,000 $33,000
Overhead [blank] $136,180 $136,180 $136,180
Totals $784,640 $784,640 $784,640
Total estimated FY 2007-2009 budgets
Total itemized budget: $2,353,920
Total work element budget: $2,353,920
Cost sharing
Funding source/orgItem or service providedFY 07 est value ($)FY 08 est value ($)FY 09 est value ($)Cash or in-kind?Status
PCSRF Monitoring program $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 Cash Under Review
PSC Statewide redd surveys $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 Cash Confirmed
Totals $130,000 $130,000 $130,000

Section 9. Project future

FY 2010 estimated budget: $784,640
FY 2011 estimated budget: $784,640
Comments: [Outyear comment field left blank]

Future O&M costs:

Termination date:
Comments:

Final deliverables:

Section 10. Narrative and other documents

Response to the ISRP review Jul 2006

Reviews and recommendations

FY07 budget FY08 budget FY09 budget Total budget Type Category Recommendation
NPCC FINAL FUNDING RECOMMENDATIONS (Oct 23, 2006) [full Council recs]
$784,650 $784,650 $784,650 $2,353,950 Expense ProvinceExpense Fund
NPCC DRAFT FUNDING RECOMMENDATIONS (Sep 15, 2006) [full Council recs]
$784,650 $784,650 $784,650 $0 ProvinceExpense
Comments: ISRP fundable in part. Do not fund the genetic work component as per ISRP recommendation.

ISRP PRELIMINARY REVIEW (Jun 2, 2006)

Recommendation: Response requested

NPCC comments: This project may have out-lived its usefulness. It needs better justification for its continuance at this level of activity. In response, please consider scaling down to provide only the data needed for regional RME needs. Please include in the response, how past performance justifies continuation of the project. In response, please provide a clear description of need for the genetic and life-history aspects of the proposal, and within the context of what is already known, why it is important to fill the "gaps" that are perceived to exist. The authors argue that expanding data to describe genetic structuring of Chinook salmon in the Basin is important. This claim should arise from a detailed study of what problems would benefit from such an expansion, and from a thorough analysis to show that existing data do not meet the perceived need. In response, please describe the basis for concluding that presently available data do not meet the needs. The project is fundable to get analysis of past data collections, but otherwise the proposal should be treated as a new project and reviewed as such. This project has been in existence for more than two decades. The abstract (details in text) should include what benefits have resulted and provide a strong basis for the project to be continued. The authors do describe a stock-recruit relationship that they have successfully developed, but there is no discussion of the significance of this potentially program-altering relationship for management of Chinook salmon. A response is requested to provide details what specific objectives and goals are driving accumulation of these data. On page 6, Table 1, the proposal is identified as contributing to identifying hatchery spawner relative to natural spawners, but no work elements support that contribution. Similarly "effects (hatchery) on natural populations and recovery contribution by hatcheries is identified, but work elements do not clearly link to those needs. In response, please clarify these apparent missing elements. A major proposed new task is to incorporate and evaluate probabilistic sampling, a commendable effort. It would be done with available spawning habitat in the upper Salmon River, which seems less critical than testing population estimation. However, in response, please provide details of year-by-year plans and provide a firmly established completion date. In response, please explain and clarify your objectives and the reasons for having them. Some objectives seem to be in the proposal as carryover from the past. Some tasks will help fine tune data management and run forecasting, for example. That’s nice but instead there could be a major thrust to identify and deal with the factors limiting salmon and steelhead quantity and quality. One work element is to genotype the spring and summer Chinook at several microsatellite loci to corroborate the independent population status evaluations by the Interior Columbia Technical Recovery Team. Please show, in response, how duplication between this project and 198909600 Genetic Monitoring Snake River Chinook salmon and steelhead is to be prevented, and how these projects will be coordinated. In response, please provide extensive background and justification for collecting more genetic diversity data, more life-history data, etc. Use of words such as "potentially useful" does not help to clarify the important reasons and need for these data.


ISRP FINAL REVIEW (Aug 31, 2006)

Recommendation: Fundable in part

NPCC comments: The sponsors responded to clarify the primary questions raised by the ISRP. The adequacy and depth of the clarification varied across the questions raised. In response to the ISRP questions of whether the project could be scaled to provide only the data needed for regional RME needs, and how past uses of the data justify continuation, the sponsors provided a succinct and sufficient response. The ISRP recognizes that the Idaho Natural Production Monitoring and Evaluation project has been instrumental in providing critical data for assessing the status and trends of salmonids (principally spring and summer Chinook) in the Salmon River subbasin. The response provided by the sponsors clarified how their objectives relate to recovery planning in general. It is clear that valuable data has been generated and that the project has added value to these data in the past through appropriate analyses. The ISRP appreciates the perspective concerning the project changing due to information demanded by regional decision-makers. In response to questions on the need for additional genetic and life history data on Chinook salmon, the sponsors respond, "The details of life history and genetic structure of Chinook salmon populations in Idaho are not well-known on the scales required for population-level recovery planning and monitoring. INPMEP should be the main source of this information for groups like the ICBTRT. Many of the population delineations made by the ICBTRT were made using professional judgment and not backed by hard data." The ISRP recognizes that microsatellite and SNP genotypes are not available for all the spring and summer Chinook in the Snake River region. At the same time NOAA Fisheries and others have been using microsatellite genotyping to evaluate a number of salmon management problems in the Snake River system. Sponsors did not show how any of this new data had altered the understanding of Chinook salmon metapopulation structure and how additional data was essential to management decisions. It is not clear if this data would do little more than reinforce the existing understanding of population structure. While more data would almost always be useful, sponsors have not identified what management decisions hinge on the data. This should be made evident before undertaking further genotyping to define Chinook salmon metapopulations. The ISRP’s intent is that the management questions and the sponsors' methods and tasks to address them be made explicit. The purpose is to help ensure that the data collected is the most useful. Further explanation of the need for describing the fine-scale genetic structure of Chinook salmon in Idaho is necessary before this component of the project is justified. The sponsors clarify that they are not involved in the investigation of hatchery effects on natural spawners and natural populations, but that data they collect on natural populations is used by projects that are conducting those investigations. This response is appreciated by the ISRP, and the importance of that effort is understood. The sponsors’ clarification of objective 1) Describe the population structure of Snake River spring/summer Chinook salmon, and 4) Evaluate life cycle survival and the freshwater productivity/production of Snake River spring/summer Chinook salmon, were unconvincing. The ISRP comment on 1 is found in the paragraph above on genetic and life-history investigations. For objective 4, the primary purpose of engaging in life cycle survival estimation is to support tributary habitat restoration effectiveness monitoring. The proposal is insufficient to evaluate whether this is the suitable vehicle to accomplish that task. The proposal does not discuss tributary habitat restoration in the subbasin and provide a connection between this project and those efforts. The sponsors' clarification of objective 2 and 3, estimation of juvenile and adult abundance and distribution is sufficient. Fundable in part to conduct the essential juvenile (parr and smolt) abundance data collections and the essential adult redd and age distribution information. The genetics work component is not scientifically justified in the proposal or response.