FY07-09 proposal 200301000

Jump to Reviews and Recommendations

Section 1. Administrative

Proposal titleHistoric Habitat Opportunities and Food-Web Linkages of Juvenile Salmon in the Columbia River Estuary and Their Implications for Managing River Flows and Restoring Estuarine Habitat
Proposal ID200301000
OrganizationNational Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
Short descriptionThis Phase II estuary project will reconstruct historic changes in rearing opportunities and food web linkages of salmon in the Columbia River estuary and evaluate their implications for managing river flows and restoring estuarine habitats.
Information transferData will be disseminated on a project website established for this and a complementary USACE-funded estuarine monitoring program (http://www.fish.washington.edu/creresearch), with links to several team-members' sites for physical data, including CORIE modeling products (http://www.ccalmr.ogi.edu/CORIE) and historical flow and sediment analyses (http://www.cee.pdx.edu/~jaylab/). Annual project reviews will be held to share results among team members and cooperators supporting or conducting similar estuarine research. Results of individual work elements will be published in peer-reviewed journals and in student theses. Team members will continue to make presentations at scientific meetings (e.g., American Fisheries Society, the Pacific Estuarine Research Society. American Geophysical Union). At the end of this project we will seek interest in publishing a dedicated journal volume to synthesize our results. The life history and habitat-based conceptual approach of this research has important applications to estuary restoration and salmon recovery. We will make oral presentations to agencies, watershed councils, or other interests and develop at least one article for a general readership regarding the implications of our research results for estuarine restoration and salmon recovery.
Proposal contact person or principal investigator
Contacts
ContactOrganizationEmail
Form submitter
Daniel L. Bottom NOAA Fisheries Dan.Bottom@noaa.gov
All assigned contacts
Daniel L. Bottom NOAA Fisheries Dan.Bottom@noaa.gov

Section 2. Locations

Province / subbasin: Columbia Estuary / Columbia Estuary

LatitudeLongitudeWaterbodyDescription
Grays R. Detailed studies planned for lower Grays River and Grays Bay
Estuary Modeling and historic data will encompass area from estuary mouth to Bonneville.

Section 3. Focal species

primary: Chinook All Populations
primary: Chum Columbia River ESU

Section 4. Past accomplishments

YearAccomplishments
2005 1. Final digitizing historic H-sheets for lower estuary; quantified habitat change 2. Completed additional stable isotope analyses & developed signature for hatchery fish 3. Created new circulation databases & modeled temp. metric of habitat opportunity
2004 1. Analyzed Chinook intestinal parasites and stable isotopes as indicators of salmon food webs and habitat 2. Modeled seasonal and interannual variability in salmon habitat opportunity 3. Analyzed historic hydrology and water elevation
2003 1. Georeferenced 6 hydrographic survey sheets in GIS 2. Developed circulation and habitat opportunity databases for 2002 for modeling 3. Collected samples of 3 estuarine trophic levels & analyzed C and N from 32 salmon

Section 5. Relationships to other projects

Funding sourceRelated IDRelated titleRelationship
Other: COE [no entry] Estuarine habitat and juvenile salmon – Current and historic linkages in the lower Columbia River and estuary The US Army Corps of Engineers (COE) has supported monitoring of juvenile salmon life histories, habitat use, and physical parameters (CORIE monitoring network) in the estuary since late 2001. Many of the biological analyses and physical modeling included in this BPA proposal make use of fish samples and physical data supported by the COE monitoring project.
BPA 199801400 Ocean Survival of Salmonids Our research in the estuary in concert with NOAA fisheries studies in the CR plume provide spatial continuity for understanding out-of-subbasin impacts of FCRPS management on salmon. Both the plume and estuary studies contain similar circulation modeling components to examine the potential effects of hydrosystem management on salmon in both environments.
BPA 200300600 Effect Monitor Chinook R Est R This proposal initiates collaborative studies with CREST and the Columbia Land Trust within Grays River. Ongoing effectiveness monitoring in Grays River by CREST is evaluating a series of wetland restoration projects (dike removal). Our proposal will support complementary experimental studies to examine the cumulative effects of restoration on salmon of different life histories and to compare habitat functions of this tributary estuary with our ongoing USACE and BPA studies of the mainstem estuary.

Section 6. Biological objectives

Biological objectivesFull descriptionAssociated subbasin planStrategy
Food Web and Life-History Response to Habitat Chan Evaluate life history and trophic responses to historic changes in estuarine habitat types and conditions Lower Columbia EH.S5 EH.M3
Habitat-life history linkages in a tributary estua Determine whether the responses of juvenile salmon species and life history types to a restoring wetland-habitat landscape in lower Grays River differ from salmon habitat-use patterns documented for the mainstem Columbia River estuary Lower Columbia EH.S3 EH.S4 EH.S5 EH.M3 EH.M8
Implications for Estuary Restoration Evaluate alternative management scenarios for restoring salmon habitat opportunity and capacity Lower Columbia EH.S3 EH.S4 EH.S5 DS.1
Reconstruct historic conditions Reconstruct the historic extent of estuarine and floodplain habitats and changes in climate, river flow, and sediment balance, Astoria to Bonneville Dam. Lower Columbia EH.S3 EH.S4 EH.S5 EH.M1 EH.M3
Simulate Historic and Contemporary Habitat Change Evaluate contemporary and future habitat changes caused by climatic and anthropogenic variability at estuary and site-specific scales. Lower Columbia EH.S4 EH.S5 DS.1

Section 7. Work elements (coming back to this)

Work element nameWork element titleDescriptionStart dateEnd dateEst budget
Produce/Submit Scientific Findings Report Project synthesis and coordination To synthesize results of multiple research activities and to develop our annual sampling plans, our research team will continue its 2-day annual project review meetings. These meetings also serve as a forum to share results with research cooperators supporting or conducting related estuarine studies. At the completion of this research, our team will prepare a comprehensive report on juvenile salmon habitat use, life histories, and performance in the Columbia River estuary for peer-reviewed publication. We will also seek interest in a dedicated journal issue to summarize in-depth results of our team’s research activities. 10/1/2006 9/30/2009 $76,670
Biological objectives
Metrics
Analyze/Interpret Data Implications for estuary restoration We will use the 3-D circulation model and databases developed in WE-2 to analyze the effects of selected management scenarios on salmon habitat opportunity using physical metrics previously developed for depth, water velocity, salinity, and temperature. Management scenarios will include changes in hydrosystem operations and local restoration actions. Analysis of restoration implications will be conducted estuary-wide and, with added refinement, for the local case study areas in Russian Island and Grays River. 10/1/2006 9/30/2009 $168,932
Biological objectives
Metrics
Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Food web and life history responses to habitat change We will apply new analytical tools (stable isotopes, otolith microchemistry, and parasite communities) developed during the ongoing (Phase I) BPA research to analyze a broader range of sample sites and time periods needed to assess life-history specific differences in salmonid food webs. We will compare salmonid food webs in restoring wetland landscape of a tributary estuary (Grays Bay) with results for the mainstem estuary. We also will search for archival materials (scales, otoliths, sediment cores) to assess whether historical life histories and food webs have responded to changes in estuarine conditions. 10/1/2006 10/30/2006 $608,072
Biological objectives
Food Web and Life-History Response to Habitat Chan
Metrics
Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Habitat-life history linkages in a tributary estuary In collaboration with effectiveness monitoring by CREST and the Columbia Land Trust, we will initiate complementary research in Grays River to evaluate salmonid responses to cumulative restoration of the tidal-wetland landscape. This work element uses Grays River as a small-scale analog to validate the results from our mainstem estuary research and to assess differences that might distinguish fish entering the mainstem river and estuary from those entering peripheral watersheds.We will test life-history specific responses to natural and restoring wetlands through experimental releases of different species and size classes of salmon from the WDFW Grays River Hatchery. 10/1/2006 9/30/2009 $804,702
Biological objectives
Metrics
Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Reconstruct historic conditions This work element analyzes climatic influences on estuarine habitat and habitat-forming processes, resolves uncertainty of the tidal datum used in historic surveys, and completes estuary-wide mapping of historical hydrography (to Bonneville) and analysis of habitat change in GIS 10/1/2006 9/30/2009 $376,545
Biological objectives
Metrics
Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Simulate historic and contemporary habitat change This work element supports further improvements (e.g., refined tidal datum, improved bathymetric detail generated in WE-1) to a 3-dimensional estuarine circulation model first employed during the first phase of this study. We will examine responses of salmon habitat opportunity to selected development transitions in the estuary (e.g., flow regulation, channel improvements, etc.). We will also create detailed site-specific databases for modeling habitat opportunity change in Grays River and Russian Island to support detailed research activities on salmon-habitat associations in these regions. 10/1/2006 9/30/2009 $241,331
Biological objectives
Simulate Historic and Contemporary Habitat Change
Metrics

Section 8. Budgets

Itemized estimated budget
ItemNoteFY07FY08FY09
Personnel [blank] $69,809 $71,903 $74,060
Fringe Benefits [blank] $18,499 $19,054 $19,626
Personnel [blank] $36,279 $37,367 $38,488
Travel [blank] $12,950 $13,339 $13,739
Capital Equipment [blank] $5,800 $2,800 $0
Overhead [blank] $46,423 $47,816 $49,250
Other [blank] $579,454 $557,788 $561,808
Totals $769,214 $750,067 $756,971
Total estimated FY 2007-2009 budgets
Total itemized budget: $2,276,252
Total work element budget: $2,276,252
Cost sharing
Funding source/orgItem or service providedFY 07 est value ($)FY 08 est value ($)FY 09 est value ($)Cash or in-kind?Status
Totals $0 $0 $0

Section 9. Project future

FY 2010 estimated budget: $0
FY 2011 estimated budget: $0
Comments:

Future O&M costs:

Termination date:
Comments:

Final deliverables:

Section 10. Narrative and other documents


Reviews and recommendations

FY07 budget FY08 budget FY09 budget Total budget Type Category Recommendation
NPCC FINAL FUNDING RECOMMENDATIONS (Oct 23, 2006) [full Council recs]
$0 $0 $0 $0 Expense ProvinceExpense Do Not Fund
NPCC DRAFT FUNDING RECOMMENDATIONS (Sep 15, 2006) [full Council recs]
$0 $0 $0 $0 Basinwide
NPCC DRAFT FUNDING RECOMMENDATIONS (Sep 15, 2006) [full Council recs]
$0 $0 $0 $0 ProvinceExpense
Comments: Joint recommendation from OR and WA.

ISRP PRELIMINARY REVIEW (Jun 2, 2006)

Recommendation: Fundable (Qualified)

NPCC comments: This research proposal has numerous elements that could significantly improve restoration techniques and management of fish habitat in the Columbia River estuary (CRE). The research uses novel techniques to address critical hypotheses. Because processes supporting estuarine food webs in the Columbia River estuary often reflect both oceanic and freshwater habitats, research in this area is complicated and the proponents have put forth excellent ideas about how to unravel some of the ecological relationships. Some of the models proposed are particularly valuable. The multidisciplinary team is very capable – this is an excellent group of experienced estuarine researchers. The project has collaborative linkages with several other Columbia River estuary projects such as the monitoring program sponsored by the US Army Corps of Engineers. The investigation of power peaking on elevations and habitat availability is very worthwhile and could tie into other projects upriver, e.g., chum spawning channel projects. The project has made substantial progress toward understanding historical and current habitat change in the estuary, improving physical models to simulate habitat change, and developing promising new techniques for understanding food webs and feeding habits of salmon in the estuary. Past results are well communicated via peer reviewed articles and reports. Technology transfer to habitat managers has been adequate but communication with hydrosystem managers could be improved. However, this complex proposal would be enhanced by further information and clarification to help reviewers understand the integration of the various proposed tasks as well as responses to specific questions: 1. A brief discussion of how this research relates to the problem of estimating survival of juvenile salmonids in the estuary and the increments in survival that could be accruing from restoration would be helpful. This discussion could be put in the context of the results on restoration by some of the researchers (Bottom et al 2005) in the Salmon River, Oregon estuary. 2. The proposal would be improved by a flow chart showing the relationships between the numerous objectives and tasks. As presented the proposal describes two separate themes - the CORIE and modeling and historic reconstructions of physical factors, and the biology of the present populations and how they relate to two different habitat types. How are these two themes related? 3. The work in the Grays River estuary is well conceived and is linked with freshwater sampling which greatly improves understanding estuarine fish ecology. However, the proposal would be clarified by an explanation of how results from the smaller Grays River estuary (GRE) would be scaled up to the larger Columbia River estuary. On the other hand if the purpose of studying two estuaries is strictly for comparative purposes then it would be helpful to provide comments on the value of that particular approach. Is there a precedent for using a tributary estuary as a reference for a main stem river estuary? 4. The proposal would be clarified by explanation of the ecological models, specifically The proponents have developed a model that apparently enables “prediction” of optimum fish habitat based on temperature, salinity, and depth (Bottom et al 2005, USACE, 2001). According to the proposal, this model will be a key element in estimating where and how much habitat needs to be restored. However, the model has not been published in a peer-reviewed journal and there are no plans for verification. The proposal would be enhanced by an update of any (anonymous) peer review of this model as well as a discussion of how the model would be verified. Reviewers would appreciate further explanation of how the FRAGSTATS model would be used for planning/prioritization of estuarine fish habitat restoration. It would be helpful if the proponents explained how the model would work with juvenile salmon. The fish exploit and move between food patches and habitats at various time and spatial scales. Are there sufficient data on movement to calibrate the model? Does this model relate to the bioenergetic modeling (Task 5d)? 5. The proposal would be improved by a specific explanation of how otoliths and isotopes will be used to assess timing and residence, and an expansion of discussion on how isotopes will be used to distinguish organic matter sources, food webs and diet. An elaboration of findings in Roenger et al. (in press) as well as any update concerning anonymous peer review of their results would be helpful. Will these methods account for the possibility of individual fish moving back and forth between habitat types, confounding results for stable isotopes, parasites, and microchemistry? 6. The proposal would be enhanced by an explanation of which particular focal species/ESU that the project will relate to. Can the proponents reconcile use of hatchery chum in the Grays River estuary residency study with data needs for wild fish? The proponents state that this study and their related proposal on the Columbia River plume (199801400) will provide "spatial continuity for understanding out-of-basin impacts of FCRPS management on salmon populations." This is true as far as the modeling by Dr. Baptista is concerned; however, the ocean study generally targets coho and spring Chinook while the estuarine study targets ocean type Chinook, so there is little actual linkage or tracking of species passing through the estuary and into the ocean. It would be helpful if the proponents would explain connections between ocean and estuary components further. 7. Suggestions for increased information transfer from the project to hydrosystem staff and fishery biologists up river in the Columbia River Basin would be useful. Can linkages be improved between this study and others underway or proposed further upriver (e.g., those on reservoir type Chinook (see ISAB 2006-1; Crims Island restoration evaluation)(200734600)? Caution is advised to avoid mortalities of non-focal and by-catch species in the trap netting and beach seining.


ISRP FINAL REVIEW (Aug 31, 2006)

Recommendation: Fundable (Qualified)

NPCC comments: This research proposal has numerous elements that could significantly improve restoration techniques and management of fish habitat in the Columbia River estuary (CRE). The research uses novel techniques to address critical hypotheses. Because processes supporting estuarine food webs in the Columbia River estuary often reflect both oceanic and freshwater habitats, research in this area is complicated and the proponents have put forth excellent ideas about how to unravel some of the ecological relationships. Some of the models proposed are particularly valuable. The multidisciplinary team is very capable – this is an excellent group of experienced estuarine researchers. The project has collaborative linkages with several other Columbia River estuary projects such as the monitoring program sponsored by the US Army Corps of Engineers. The investigation of power peaking on elevations and habitat availability is very worthwhile and could tie into other projects upriver, e.g., chum spawning channel projects. The project has made substantial progress toward understanding historical and current habitat change in the estuary, improving physical models to simulate habitat change, and developing promising new techniques for understanding food webs and feeding habits of salmon in the estuary. Past results are well communicated via peer reviewed articles and reports. Technology transfer to habitat managers has been adequate but communication with hydrosystem managers could be improved. However, this complex proposal would be enhanced by further information and clarification to help reviewers understand the integration of the various proposed tasks as well as responses to specific questions: 1. A brief discussion of how this research relates to the problem of estimating survival of juvenile salmonids in the estuary and the increments in survival that could be accruing from restoration would be helpful. This discussion could be put in the context of the results on restoration by some of the researchers (Bottom et al 2005) in the Salmon River, Oregon estuary. 2. The proposal would be improved by a flow chart showing the relationships between the numerous objectives and tasks. As presented the proposal describes two separate themes - the CORIE and modeling and historic reconstructions of physical factors, and the biology of the present populations and how they relate to two different habitat types. How are these two themes related? 3. The work in the Grays River estuary is well conceived and is linked with freshwater sampling which greatly improves understanding estuarine fish ecology. However, the proposal would be clarified by an explanation of how results from the smaller Grays River estuary (GRE) would be scaled up to the larger Columbia River estuary. On the other hand if the purpose of studying two estuaries is strictly for comparative purposes then it would be helpful to provide comments on the value of that particular approach. Is there a precedent for using a tributary estuary as a reference for a main stem river estuary? 4. The proposal would be clarified by explanation of the ecological models, specifically The proponents have developed a model that apparently enables “prediction” of optimum fish habitat based on temperature, salinity, and depth (Bottom et al 2005, USACE, 2001). According to the proposal, this model will be a key element in estimating where and how much habitat needs to be restored. However, the model has not been published in a peer-reviewed journal and there are no plans for verification. The proposal would be enhanced by an update of any (anonymous) peer review of this model as well as a discussion of how the model would be verified. Reviewers would appreciate further explanation of how the FRAGSTATS model would be used for planning/prioritization of estuarine fish habitat restoration. It would be helpful if the proponents explained how the model would work with juvenile salmon. The fish exploit and move between food patches and habitats at various time and spatial scales. Are there sufficient data on movement to calibrate the model? Does this model relate to the bioenergetic modeling (Task 5d)? 5. The proposal would be improved by a specific explanation of how otoliths and isotopes will be used to assess timing and residence, and an expansion of discussion on how isotopes will be used to distinguish organic matter sources, food webs and diet. An elaboration of findings in Roenger et al. (in press) as well as any update concerning anonymous peer review of their results would be helpful. Will these methods account for the possibility of individual fish moving back and forth between habitat types, confounding results for stable isotopes, parasites, and microchemistry? 6. The proposal would be enhanced by an explanation of which particular focal species/ESU that the project will relate to. Can the proponents reconcile use of hatchery chum in the Grays River estuary residency study with data needs for wild fish? The proponents state that this study and their related proposal on the Columbia River plume (199801400) will provide "spatial continuity for understanding out-of-basin impacts of FCRPS management on salmon populations." This is true as far as the modeling by Dr. Baptista is concerned; however, the ocean study generally targets coho and spring Chinook while the estuarine study targets ocean type Chinook, so there is little actual linkage or tracking of species passing through the estuary and into the ocean. It would be helpful if the proponents would explain connections between ocean and estuary components further. 7. Suggestions for increased information transfer from the project to hydrosystem staff and fishery biologists up river in the Columbia River Basin would be useful. Can linkages be improved between this study and others underway or proposed further upriver (e.g., those on reservoir type Chinook (see ISAB 2006-1; Crims Island restoration evaluation)(200734600)? Caution is advised to avoid mortalities of non-focal and by-catch species in the trap netting and beach seining.