FY07-09 proposal 200719800

Jump to Reviews and Recommendations

Section 1. Administrative

Proposal titleNext Steps in Subbasin Planning: Umatilla Pilot Project
Proposal ID200719800
OrganizationConfederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation
Short descriptionThe purpose of this project is to nurture regionally standardized modeling of managed salmonid stocks using a pilot study of Umatilla Summer Steelhead, and will include collaborative sub-contracts with Columbia Basin Agencies and Authorities.
Information transferThe results from this work will be summarized in quarterly, annual, and peer reviewed publications, and will be shared among the technical community via internet postings of text and mathematical models. Information will be transfered directly among Columbia Basin Agencies and Authorities via four workshops, monthly conference calls starting in the second quarter of the project, and direct communication among the collaborators.
Proposal contact person or principal investigator
Contacts
ContactOrganizationEmail
Form submitter
Jesse Schwartz Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation JesseSchwartz@ctuir.com
All assigned contacts
Julie Burke Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reserva julieburke@ctuir.com
Gary James Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation garyjames@ctuir.com
Jesse Schwartz Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation JesseSchwartz@ctuir.com

Section 2. Locations

Province / subbasin: Columbia Plateau / Walla Walla

LatitudeLongitudeWaterbodyDescription
Umatilla Pilot project in Umatilla Subbasin, with results applicable systemwide.

Section 3. Focal species

primary: All Anadromous Fish
secondary: All Resident Fish

Section 4. Past accomplishments

YearAccomplishments

Section 5. Relationships to other projects

Funding sourceRelated IDRelated titleRelationship
BPA 200207500 Technical Recovery Team (TRT) Develops assessments and action plans for NOAA salmon recovery planning
BPA 198201300 Coded-Wire Tag Recovery Recoverys and summarizes coded wire tag information
BPA 198335003 Nez Perce Tribal Hatchery M&E Evaluates hatchery and makes use of production models
BPA 198343500 Umatilla Hatchery O&M - CTUIR Operates and maintains focal hatchery program
BPA 198343600 Umatilla Passage O&M Maintains passage for focal stock
BPA 198710001 Umatilla Anad Fish Hab - CTUIR Restore habitat of focal stock
BPA 198710002 Umatilla Anad. Fish Hab - ODFW Restores habitat of focal stock
BPA 198903500 Umatilla Hatchery O&M - ODFW Supports hatchery of focal stock
BPA 199008001 Pit Tag Purchases Supports PIT tag and outmigrant monitoring of focal stock
BPA 199403300 Fish Passage Center Assembles and analyzes adult and smolt dam passage information for focal stock
BPA 199506001 Iskuulpa Watershed Project Restores habitat of focal stock
BPA 199600500 ISAB Advises fish and wildlife program on scientific progress, including modeling and simulation
BPA 200104800 Ecosystem Diagnosis Model Established Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment modeling effort
BPA 198910800 Modeling & Eval Supp/Crisp Established CRISP modeling effort
BPA 199800100 Path/ESA Bio Assessment Hes Established PATH hypothesis testing effort
BPA 200205100 Sub Basin Planning Supported population, review, and requests for revisions from EDT and QHA models
BPA 200400200 PNAMP Funding Supports collaborative monitoring partnership and the development of information node "NED"
BPA 200303600 CBFWA Monitor/Eval Program Supports collaborative monitoring and evaluation

Section 6. Biological objectives

Biological objectivesFull descriptionAssociated subbasin planStrategy
Code Model Integrate co-manager input, and code model for review and evaluation Walla Walla Test the EDT working hypotheses
Coordinate and facilitate model scoping process Host workshops to coordinate model scoping process for Umatilla summer steelhead Umatilla Test the EDT working hypotheses
Test and Evaluate Model Test and evaluate the Umatilla summer steelhead life-cycel model Walla Walla Coordinate with regional programs, and integrate regional information and processes into the Walla Walla assessment efforts.

Section 7. Work elements (coming back to this)

Work element nameWork element titleDescriptionStart dateEnd dateEst budget
Coordination Coordinate model coding CTUIR will coordinate the coding of the Umatilla summer steelhead model revisions, and integration of Agency and Authority input 1/1/2008 12/31/2008 $420,675
Biological objectives
Code Model
Metrics
Coordination Coordinate Workshops CTUIR will sponsor four modeling workshops, and solicit the input and recommendations of comanagers to a Umatilla summer steelhead life-cycle model 1/1/2007 12/31/2007 $382,432
Biological objectives
Coordinate and facilitate model scoping process
Metrics
Coordination Test and Evaluate Model CTUIR will coordinate model testing and evaluation using parameter perturbation, sensitivity analysis, and evaluation of the outputs. 1/1/2009 12/31/2009 $462,742
Biological objectives
Test and Evaluate Model
Metrics

Section 8. Budgets

Itemized estimated budget
ItemNoteFY07FY08FY09
Personnel [blank] $59,875 $65,862 $72,448
Fringe Benefits [blank] $16,166 $17,783 $19,561
Supplies [blank] $15,500 $17,050 $18,755
Travel [blank] $10,928 $12,021 $13,223
Overhead [blank] $39,963 $43,959 $48,355
Other Sub-contracts to the Agencies, Authorities, and programmers $240,000 $264,000 $290,400
Totals $382,432 $420,675 $462,742
Total estimated FY 2007-2009 budgets
Total itemized budget: $1,265,849
Total work element budget: $1,265,849
Cost sharing
Funding source/orgItem or service providedFY 07 est value ($)FY 08 est value ($)FY 09 est value ($)Cash or in-kind?Status
Totals $0 $0 $0

Section 9. Project future

FY 2010 estimated budget: $0
FY 2011 estimated budget: $0
Comments:

Future O&M costs:

Termination date: 12-31-2009
Comments: This project is a pilot modeling study sponsored by CTUIR. The long-term goal of the exercise is to nurture a structure and process for sustainable collaborative modeling. At the completion of the funding cycle the project would be terminated, and sponsorship for similar activities would be either 1) codified within a Basin-wide collaboration, or 2) rotated to a collaborating Agency or Authority.

Final deliverables: Update to Umatilla summer steelhead EDT Collaborative framework for updating EDT and preparing for next subbasin planning exercise Collaborative framework for a sustainable modeling collaboration Annual reports Peer-reviewed paper describing integrated collaborative modeling products

Section 10. Narrative and other documents


Reviews and recommendations

FY07 budget FY08 budget FY09 budget Total budget Type Category Recommendation
NPCC FINAL FUNDING RECOMMENDATIONS (Oct 23, 2006) [full Council recs]
$0 $0 $0 $0 Expense Basinwide Do Not Fund
NPCC DRAFT FUNDING RECOMMENDATIONS (Sep 15, 2006) [full Council recs]
$0 $0 $0 $0 Basinwide

ISRP PRELIMINARY REVIEW (Jun 2, 2006)

Recommendation: Not fundable

NPCC comments: The project is ambitious and does address what some would consider a critical need within the basin. A key selling point for the proposed work is that the model framework would be broadly used within basin. The sponsors, however, did not provide evidence of clear and direct support for the proposed work from agencies and tribes. The basin’s experience with PATH and the large-scale investment of agencies and tribes in their own models may not be conducive to their participation in the proposed work. The proposal does a poor job of identifying the difficulties in accomplishing the proposed work. Many, perhaps most, of the models that could become modules in the proposed integrative model have not been rigorously field validated, and many have not been subject to critical scientific review. These kinds of problems will impact the applicability of the proposed modeling endeavor as a decision-support tool. Furthermore the ISAB, in a review of Columbia River Basin models, recognized the shortcomings as well as the strengths of all the major models and recommended the use, not of a single grand model, but of multiple models to support decisions.


ISRP FINAL REVIEW (Aug 31, 2006)

Recommendation: Not fundable

NPCC comments: The project is ambitious and does address what some would consider a critical need within the basin. A key selling point for the proposed work is that the model framework would be broadly used within basin. The sponsors, however, did not provide evidence of clear and direct support for the proposed work from agencies and tribes. The basin’s experience with PATH and the large-scale investment of agencies and tribes in their own models may not be conducive to their participation in the proposed work. The proposal does a poor job of identifying the difficulties in accomplishing the proposed work. Many, perhaps most, of the models that could become modules in the proposed integrative model have not been rigorously field validated, and many have not been subject to critical scientific review. These kinds of problems will impact the applicability of the proposed modeling endeavor as a decision-support tool. Furthermore the ISAB, in a review of Columbia River Basin models, recognized the shortcomings as well as the strengths of all the major models and recommended the use, not of a single grand model, but of multiple models to support decisions.