FY 2003 Request for Studies proposal 200306100

Section 1. Administrative

Proposal titleAnalytical Approach for Determination of Effects of Hatchery Reform on Extinction Risk and Recovery of Salmon and Steelhead
Proposal ID200306100
OrganizationColumbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission (CRITFC)
Proposal contact person or principal investigator
NameA.J. Talbot
Mailing address729 NE Oregon, Suite 200 Portland, OR 97232
Phone / email /
Manager authorizing this projectA.J. Talbot
Review cycleFY 2003 Request for Studies
Province / SubbasinColumbia Plateau / Yakima
Short descriptionWe propose a three-part study, designed to provide information and perspectives that can be directly applied to the operation of hatcheries, and help understand the evolution of salmon in a hatchery.
Target speciesSalmon & Steelhead
Project location
LatitudeLongitudeDescription
47.182 -120.9798 Cle Elum Hatchery (aka Supplementation and Research Facility)
46.6304 -120.5138 Naches River
Reasonable and Prudent Alternatives (RPAs)

Sponsor-reported:

RPA
184

Relevant RPAs based on NMFS/BPA review:

Reviewing agencyAction #BiOp AgencyDescription

Section 2. Past accomplishments

YearAccomplishment

Section 3. Relationships to other projects

Project IDTitleDescription

Section 4. Budget for Planning and Design phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2003 costSubcontractor
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
Outyear budgets for Planning and Design phase

Section 5. Budget for Construction and Implementation phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2003 costSubcontractor
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
Outyear budgets for Construction and Implementation phase

Section 6. Budget for Operations and Maintenance phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2003 costSubcontractor
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
Outyear budgets for Operations and Maintenance phase

Section 7. Budget for Monitoring and Evaluation phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2003 costSubcontractor
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
Outyear budgets for Monitoring and Evaluation phase

Section 8. Estimated budget summary

Itemized budget
ItemNoteFY 2003 cost
Personnel $69,525
Travel $4,032
Supplies $4,020
Indirect 35.9% $27,850
Subcontractor University of Idaho $26,197
Subcontractor University of Washington $18,633
Subcontractor consultants $17,876
$168,133
Total estimated budget
Total FY 2003 cost$168,133
Amount anticipated from previously committed BPA funds$0
Total FY 2003 budget request$168,133
FY 2003 forecast from 2002$0
% change from forecast0.0%
Cost sharing
OrganizationItem or service providedAmountCash or in-kind

Reviews and recommendations

This information was not provided on the original proposals, but was generated during the review process.

Recommendation:
Not fundable
Date:
Apr 25, 2003

Comment:

Not Fundable. Unfortunately, the region lacks the data needed to successfully implement this project. The work would seem to require information that could only be gathered with a longer-term and larger-scale study than is described or that fits the 9-month timeframe specified in the RFS.

Direct answers to RFS questions.

Would the study result in the development of a standardized analytical approach for synthesizing the results and detecting the effects at the population and ESU levels of a myriad of hatchery reforms in terms of their effects on extinction risk and/or recovery?

Unfortunately no, because of the region lacks adequate data.

Will the study provide documentation and/or explanatory text for the analytical approach sufficient to allow other entities to readily use it to evaluate potential effectiveness of hatchery reform measures?

Unfortunately no, because the region lacks adequate data.

Primary Review Comments and Questions for Improvement of the Proposal

The proposal should have a more clear and definite statement of tasks and methods to accomplish the tasks and objectives.

This proposal would take a synthetic approach to assessing the effect of hatchery reforms on risks for wild salmonids. It provides an extensive literature review of the issues related to reproductive success, artificial propagation, conservation goals, risks of hatchery operations, and biological impairment from hatchery wild interbreeding. The idea is to link hatchery practices with variation in traits that determine fitness. The idea of developing a statistical framework to assess these linkages and to use this framework to guide hatchery practices seems like a good one. Unfortunately, empirical work and data would need to be greatly expanded to relate the proposed genetic approach to indexing outcomes of hatchery practices to an assessment of risk at the population or ESA level.

The proposal fails to provide convincing linkage of the small-scale and local measures that will be taken to population- or ESA-level demographic responses. The proposal assumes that simple gene expression, as indexed with arbitrary microarray analyses, will translate simply into population-level fitness and thus can be used to assess risk resulting from hatchery protocols. This is an untested assertion and cannot be assumed to be correct. The proposal needs a strong way to test this assumption.

The short section on their statistical model was unclear on what dependent variables are to be modeled, what independent variables are to be included, and where the data will come from. Examples of the computation conducted on an example using real data (or hypothetical data) would have been helpful.


Recommendation:
Do Not Fund
Date:
May 14, 2003

Comment:


Recommendation:
Do Not Fund
Date:
May 14, 2003

Comment:


Recommendation:
Not Fundable
Date:
Jun 27, 2003

Comment:

Not Fundable. A response was not requested. Unfortunately, the region lacks the data needed to successfully implement this project. The work would seem to require information that could only be gathered with a longer-term and larger-scale study than is described or that fits the 9-month timeframe specified in the RFS.