FY 2003 Mainstem/Systemwide proposal 200307700
Contents
Section 1. General administrative information
Section 2. Past accomplishments
Section 3. Relationships to other projects
Section 4. Budgets for planning/design phase
Section 5. Budgets for construction/implementation phase
Section 6. Budgets for operations/maintenance phase
Section 7. Budgets for monitoring/evaluation phase
Section 8. Budget summary
Reviews and Recommendations
Additional documents
Title | Type |
---|---|
35017 Narrative | Narrative |
35017 Powerpoint Presentation | Powerpoint Presentation |
Section 1. Administrative
Proposal title | Inventory and Synthesis of Physical Process Models and Methods to Supplement Habitat Conditions Analysis and Subbasin Planning |
Proposal ID | 200307700 |
Organization | KWA Ecological Sciences, Inc. and Golder Associates Inc. (KWA/Golder) |
Proposal contact person or principal investigator | |
Name | Keith Wolf |
Mailing address | 11232 320th Avenue Northeast Carnation, WA 98014 |
Phone / email | 4257883402 / kwolf@kwaecoscience.com |
Manager authorizing this project | Brian A. Keene, for KWA, Joe Hachey for Golder |
Review cycle | Mainstem/Systemwide |
Province / Subbasin | Mainstem/Systemwide / Okanogan |
Short description | Engage earth scientists, civil/systems engineers, geomorphologists, hydrogeologists and others familiar with the science of physical processes. Conduct a synthesis inventory of tools and develop a Landform Library, database, web based app. and model. |
Target species | Steelhead, spring chinook, summer/fall chinook, coho, chum, sockeye salmon, coastal cutthroat, and resident fish. Wildlife species will also receive ancillary benefits as well as Sturgeon and Pacific Lamprey.. |
Project location
Latitude | Longitude | Description |
---|---|---|
48.55 | -119.94 | Project will encompass a cooperative effort with other projects in the Columbia Basin |
Reasonable and Prudent Alternatives (RPAs)
Sponsor-reported:
RPA |
---|
Action 30 (see narrative) |
Action 35 " " |
Action 85 " " |
Action 133 " " |
Action 142 " " |
Action 149 |
Action 150 |
Action 151 |
Action 152 |
Action 153 |
Action 154 |
Action 155 |
Action 156 |
Action 157 |
Action 158 |
Action 159 |
Action 160 |
Action 161 |
Action 162 |
Action 163 |
Action 180 |
Action 183 |
Relevant RPAs based on NMFS/BPA review:
Reviewing agency | Action # | BiOp Agency | Description |
---|
Section 2. Past accomplishments
Year | Accomplishment |
---|---|
2001 | Authorship of Okanogan Subbasin Summary for ISRP (Wolf et., al) |
2001 | Authorship of Okanogan Limiting Factors Analysis (final draft used in Subbasin Summary) (Fisher and Wolf) |
2001 | Validation of the Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment Model - Review of the Environmental Template (Task 2, 3and 4) (Wolf and Miller) |
2001 | Work Plan and Organizational Structure for the Upper Columbia Salmon Recovery Board (Wolf) |
2000 | Development of Validation process and tasks for the Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment Model - Regional Assessment Advisory Committee (Wolf as RAAC member) |
2000 | Development of Subbasin Planning and Assessment Template - Regional Assessment Advisory Committee (Wolf as RAAC member) |
2001 | Assisting Colville Confederated Tribes with overall recovery planning in Intermountain/Col. Cascade Province. Liason with NMFS etc. and public, (Wolf) |
1997 | Hanford Reach Juvenile Stranding Study. Field Studies, LIDAR and SHOALS survey (Wolf and Wagner) |
1998 | Hanford Reach Juvenile Stranding Study. Field Studies, mortality estimates, unsteady flow model and simulation development, delayed mortality studies (Wolf, Wagner, PNNL) |
1999 | Hanford Reach Juvenile Stranding Study. Technical and Policy Lead for multistate and tribal negotiation for interim operating plan (Wolf and Wagner) |
1997 | Steelhead Spawning Surveys in the Hanford Reach (Wolf and Wagner) |
2000 | GoldSim development project. Developing and applying a new general-purpose risk analysis simulation system.(Miller, Roberds) |
2000 | Developed risk-based model for proposed new water supply system, considering risks of poor water quality and excessive system costs (Miller). |
1997 | Research focused on controls on channel initiation in steep and low-gradient landscapes. Sustained interest in relationships between hillslope and fluvial processes motivates continuing research on sediment prod, & erosion mechanisms (Montgomery) |
1998 | Leading a research program in Mountain Drainage Basin Geomorphology to develop methods for analyzing and predicting geomorphic response to both natural processes and anthropogenic disturbance.(Montgomery) |
1999 | Field studies of geomorphic processes and development of digital terrain models for predicting the spatial distribution of erosional processes, channel morphology, and sediment production and routing (Montgomery) |
1999 | Stream channel stability modeling and engineered treatments (Kammereck) |
2000 | Successful stream restoration designs and construction for USFWS (Wolf and Kammereck) |
2001 | Successful fish ladder design and construction project for USFWS (Wolf and Kammereck) |
1994 | Extensive FEMA and Fluvial Mechanics background - Seven years developing FEMA emergency planning critera for Whatcom County (Kammereck) |
1998 | Member of CBFWA subbasin technical review team (Wolf) |
1989 | Supported Department if Energy headquarters in developing a risk-based management model (STRIP) to evaluate alternative program management strategies. This model was used to develop a successful new strategy for WIPP nuclear waste disposal (Miller and Rob |
1989 | Supported a probabilistic risk assessment of the safety of a proposed tailings facility to be located on paleo-karst in Ireland (Miller). |
1997 | Developed probabilistic methodology for risk-based pipeline design for proposed trans-Alaska gas pipeline, for Yukon Pacific Corp. This methodology addressed multiple pipeline failure modes, and integrated geotechnical conditions along the pipeline right |
1999 | Chairman, Unsaturated Zone Flow and Transport Peer Review Panel, Yucca Mountain Project (Miller) |
1999 | Supporting DOE oversight of Yucca Mountain Project Viability Assessment. Leading development of next-generation performance assessment model, for DOE (Miller). |
1993 | Developed the Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment Model (Mobrand) |
2001 | Chehalis Basin EDT analysis. Fluvial Mechanics and Alternate Strategies (Morris and Mobrand) |
1998 | Directed groundwater modeling at numerous sites, including a model of flow and solute transport at Hanford, Washington. Developed a model of multi-modal flow at the Yucca Mountain, Nevada site… (Miller) |
2000 | IFIM Technical Team Invitee (Fernet) |
2000 | Review of Mid-Columbia Habitat Conservation Plan (Wagner, Wolf) |
1971 | Team has recognition in all aspects of scientific diciplines to accomplish the project goals and objectives. Team is staffed and has access to experts ifisheries biology, ecology, fluvial processes, geology, geomorphology, civil and systems engineering, |
1971 | Team has world-wide recognition and extensive experience in risk analysis; advanced systems design; development of probablistic and statistical software and decision-support processes, and are experts in facilitatation of large, complex projects. |
Section 3. Relationships to other projects
Project ID | Title | Description |
---|---|---|
Columbia Cascade EDT analysis | Direct and parallel relationship to provide new capability for subbain planning - project is not intended to extend existing EDT functionality, but provide new overall subbasin analysis and planning capability | |
Salmon and Steelhead Habitat Inventory and Assessment Project (SSHIAP) | Parallel relationship to review capability for dynamic and direct linkages to SSHIAP and/or GIS-based analytical functionality | |
Okanogan and Wenatchee FLIR | Direct input for physical process modeling | |
RAAC Process | EDT Validation and subbasin assessment template |
Section 4. Budget for Planning and Design phase
Task-based budget
Objective | Task | Duration in FYs | Estimated 2003 cost | Subcontractor |
---|---|---|---|---|
Objective #1 Phase I - By January 15th, 2003 convene the Core Development Team | Contract with BPA and project team members. Host project kick-off meeting and develop detailed project scope for all project participants. This task will cover both Phases. | 2 | $129,000 | |
Objective #1a Phase I - Produce in interim PPM product for use in comparing treatment options for FY 2004 | In order to permit early benefits from the PPM development during FY 2003, an interim product will be developed. | 1 | $20,000 | |
Objective #2 Phase I- Produce an Inventory and Synthesis of Physical Process Models and Methods | Produce an Inventory and Synthesis of Physical Process Models and Methods by Mar 31, 2004. Define bounds of literature. Task b. Assign Resources by discipline (e.g. model development, engineering, geomorphology and biological attributes.) Task c. Report | 2 | $239,920 | |
Objective # 3 Phase I Develop PPM database | Form database workgroup from systems professions on project team. Task a Incorporate Synthesis Report information into database. Access to selected models and annotation reports (how, when and where to use) would be provided through relational database s | 2 | $137,440 | |
Objective #4 Phase I -Write Synthesis report | Core Team Task a. Contact peer reviewers and illicit comments and review Task b. Incorporate finding and produce manuscript for publication Task c. Utilize BPA/NPPC and/or CBFWA for wide distribution of final report | 2 | $86,789 | |
Objective #5 Phase I -Web-enable Land Form Library | Use Goldsim or other suitable platform and Golder Systems Team (web-solutions team) and existing tools to distribute Landform Library database on the web. Task a. Program web-based version of Landform Library Task b. Platform testing and initial 60-day | 2 | $119,460 |
Outyear objectives-based budget
Objective | Starting FY | Ending FY | Estimated cost |
---|---|---|---|
1. Maintain core development team | 2004 | 2005 | $72,017 |
2. Maintatin project management team | 2004 | 2005 | $42,017 |
3. Produce end-of-year reports | 2004 | 2005 | $18,970 |
4. Maintain linkage with ecosytem diagnosis development (e.g.,EDT) | 2004 | 2005 | $25,500 |
Outyear budgets for Planning and Design phase
FY 2004 | FY 2005 | FY 2006 | FY 2007 |
---|---|---|---|
$118,504 | $122,651 | $50,000 | $51,750 |
Section 5. Budget for Construction and Implementation phase
Task-based budget
Objective | Task | Duration in FYs | Estimated 2003 cost | Subcontractor |
---|---|---|---|---|
Objective 1 Phase II - Develop PPM Procedure, Method/Model | 5 Interactive Technical Sessions and individual assignments Task a. Define goals and objectives for PPM model in terms of direct benefit to fish and wildlife. Task b. Develop influence diagram for process and model | 2 | $0 | |
Objective 2 Phase II - Develop and conduct a user-survey. Method | Golder Associates Inc. to develop based on past experience and expertise. Task a. Develop “usability” survey Task b. Conduct 50 user-surveys among subbasin planners, agency, tribal and planning groups to determine what functions are most desirable. | 2 | $0 | |
Objective 3 Phase II - Document findings and report progress Method | Report to Council and Discussions with BPA COTR Task a. Prepare and deliver an end-of-year and Phase II report | 2 | $0 | |
Objective 4 Phase II Develop the Physical Processes Procedure/Model Method | Core Development Team Task a. Merge task 1c. products with programming to produce a subprogram Method-a C++ programming techniques, use GoldSim and other model and appropriate programming tools. | 2 | $0 |
Outyear objectives-based budget
Objective | Starting FY | Ending FY | Estimated cost |
---|---|---|---|
Maintain core development team | 2005 | 2007 | $72,017 |
Maintatin project management team | 2005 | 2007 | $42,017 |
Produce end-of-year reports | 2005 | 2007 | $18,970 |
Maintain linkage with ecosytem diagnosis development (e.g.,EDT)l | 2005 | 2007 | $25,500 |
Outyear budgets for Construction and Implementation phase
FY 2004 |
---|
$229,560 |
Section 6. Budget for Operations and Maintenance phase
Task-based budget
Objective | Task | Duration in FYs | Estimated 2003 cost | Subcontractor |
---|---|---|---|---|
Maintain Web-site | 5 | $18,500 | ||
Maintain Database | 5 | $18,500 |
Outyear objectives-based budget
Objective | Starting FY | Ending FY | Estimated cost |
---|---|---|---|
Objective #1-P3 - Utilize the Phase –II review and develop a work plan for Phase IIL | 2005 | 2006 | $5,796 |
Objective #2–P3 By May 2007, implement mathematical program, integrate with Columbia Cascade subbasin planning process and EDT analysis to complete “model.” | 2005 | 2006 | $160,000 |
Objective #3–P3 – EDT/PPM reach specific and strategic prioritization model runs | 2005 | 2006 | $30,084 |
Objective #4–P3 – Model Validation | 2005 | 2006 | $30,084 |
Objective #5–P3 – Integration of model results with SubbasinPlans | 2005 | 2006 | $30,084 |
Objective #6–P3 – Document PPM program and integration process | 2005 | 2006 | $49,000 |
Objective #7-P3 – Document findings and report progress | 2005 | 2006 | $22,980 |
Objective #8-P3 – Monitor and Evaluate Progress – Maintain process availability to subbasin planners | 2005 | 2006 | $22,980 |
Outyear budgets for Operations and Maintenance phase
FY 2005 |
---|
$351,008 |
Section 7. Budget for Monitoring and Evaluation phase
Task-based budget
Objective | Task | Duration in FYs | Estimated 2003 cost | Subcontractor |
---|
Outyear objectives-based budget
Objective | Starting FY | Ending FY | Estimated cost |
---|---|---|---|
Objective 1 Phase II - Develop PPM Procedure, Method/Model | 2004 | 2006 | $139,980 |
Objective 2 Phase II - Develop and conduct a user-survey. Method | 2004 | 2006 | $84,500 |
Objective 3 Phase II - Document findings and report progress Method | 2004 | 2006 | $18,500 |
Objective 4 Phase II Develop the Physical Processes Procedure/Model Method | 2004 | 2006 | $139,980 |
Outyear budgets for Monitoring and Evaluation phase
FY 2006 | FY 2007 |
---|---|
$18,500 | $18,500 |
Section 8. Estimated budget summary
Itemized budget
Item | Note | FY 2003 cost |
---|---|---|
Personnel | FTE: Portions of 5 @ .46 of ea. FTE | $410,009 |
Fringe | Labor is fully burdened | $0 |
Supplies | 45,000 | $45,500 |
Travel | 9,078 | $9,080 |
Indirect | 41,109 | $41,109 |
Capital | 35,020 | $35,020 |
Subcontractor | 223921 | $223,901 |
Other | 4,990 for symposim costs, journal publication and relevant professional association dues etc. | $4,990 |
$769,609 |
Total estimated budget
Total FY 2003 cost | $769,609 |
Amount anticipated from previously committed BPA funds | $0 |
Total FY 2003 budget request | $769,609 |
FY 2003 forecast from 2002 | $0 |
% change from forecast | 0.0% |
Cost sharing
Organization | Item or service provided | Amount | Cash or in-kind |
---|---|---|---|
Army Corps. of Engineers | Technical Services | $0 | in-kind |
Golder Associates Inc. | Support Services, GIS and Administration | $0 | in-kind |
Colville Confederated Tribes | Confer with Tribal Council | $2,000 | in-kind |
KWA Eclogical Sciences, Inc. | Meeting Space | $4,500 | cash |
Other budget explanation
Cost is for hosting one regional symposium
Reviews and recommendations
This information was not provided on the original proposals, but was generated during the review process.
Do not fund - no response required
Aug 2, 2002
Comment:
Not Fundable. The proposal is inadequate. This long rambling proposal did not provide adequate detail in the critical Section f. Proposal objectives, tasks and methods to allow review of methods (methods are too brief). In future proposals the proponents might consider reducing the level of effort and propose to produce a directory of and synthesis report containing protocols and recommendations for how and when physical process methods should be used. Proposals must include a monitoring and evaluation section. It is not appropriate for one of the most quantitative proposals to not have a quantitative monitoring and evaluation plan for success of the project.The proponents propose to link the biological and physical worlds through cause and effect processes and develop an overarching "model" called the Physical Process Method (PPM) process. The project would provide input to the EDT process of evaluating aquatic habitat and predicting effects of habitat changes on anadromous fish populations. The ISRP is not convinced that a highly sophisticated mathematical approach in combination with EDT is appropriate at this time. The sub models are available (and some were listed in the proposal) for many of the processes they want to link. Users may be better off to leave them unlinked and use them as needed, based on the combined expertise of several disciplines working together. An overarching Physical Processes Model may gain little not available from individual models for discrete processes. However, part of Phase 1, a directory of and synthesis report containing protocols and recommendations for use of individual physical process models in subbasin planning, may be useful. The ISRP agrees that a useful form for this inventory would be the style of presentation of protocols in the report "Inventory and Monitoring of Salmon Habitat in the Northwest: Directory and Synthesis of Protocols for Management/Research and Volunteers in Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana and British Columbia" by Johnson, et al. 2001.
Action Agency/NMFS RME Group Comments:
STATUS MONITORING SUBGROUP -- This proposal would engage earth scientists, civil/systems engineers, geomorphologists, hydrogeologists and others familiar with the science of physical processes to conduct a synthesis inventory of tools and develop a Landform Library, database, web based application, and model.
- Does a proposal satisfy the objectives of RPA? This proposal is vaguely linked to RPA 180 in the narrative but no specific linkages are established by the proposal. The proposal is really aimed more at supporting subbasin planning than monitoring, although data derived from monitoring will be necessary to model development and application. Proposal indicates applicability to RPA 180 as it would provide new overall subbasin analysis and planning capability similar/parallel to EDT, SSHIAP, and/or GIS-based analytical functionality. The primary purpose appears to be to provide tools that translate habitat treatments into specific changes in habitat attributes, which could then be used by EDT or other habitat analysis tools. Relevance to RPA 180 appears to be in which habitat attributes might be monitored.
- If not, explain what elements are lacking. Explicit linkage to RPA's 180/181 is lacking. The proposed models/tools to be developed under this proposal would need environmental data developed under RPA's 180/181, in addition to providing some synthesis of the potential and/or realized benefits of restoration actions. The proposal is long on concepts but very sparse on the details, particularly in the objectives section. This project appears to relate more to RPA 183 (effectiveness monitoring) by identifying the physical attributes that might respond to specific habitat actions and predicting the potential magnitude of the responses.
- If the proposal partially satisfies the RPA objectives, suggest means or opportunities to strengthen the proposal. The authors need to integrate biological processes (riparian vegetation) into their conceptual framework of what processes control the environment. Ecosystem processes and structure are not simply based on physical processes controlling the environment. A more holistic conceptual framework would be useful. In addition, treatments need to be expanded to consider passive processes in addition to engineered solutions. Sometimes the best solution is just taking the human disturbance off the land, not just mitigating or engineering around it.
- If a proposal is entirely satisfactory, indicate so and note the particular strong points.
- Assess the feasibility of the proposed work in general terms. This proposal is highly ambitious as it attempts integrate significant known and unknown elements of putting together physically-based models and tools to quantify cause and effect in biophysical processes. The direction of their approach is based on physical processes and an engineering-oriented perspective on how to address recovery of watersheds. There doesn't seem to be much emphasis on the biological processes (e.g. riparian vegetation) that also shape and form the habitat template. While the problem statements addresses by this proposal are laudable, it is unclear how the proposal will address many of these lofty goals.
ISRP Remarks on RME Group Comments:
The ISRP is in general agreement with the RME review comments on this project.
Comment:
This proposal is long on concepts and short on details. Conceptual model largely driven by physical models with little consideration of biological moderators to ecosystem function.Comment:
Not Fundable. Disagree with CBFWA's Recommended Action. The proposal is inadequate and a response was not requested. This long rambling proposal did not provide adequate detail in the critical Section f. Proposal objectives, tasks and methods to allow review of methods (methods are too brief). In future proposals the proponents might consider reducing the level of effort and propose to produce a directory of and synthesis report containing protocols and recommendations for how and when physical process methods should be used. Proposals must include a monitoring and evaluation section. It is not appropriate for one of the most quantitative proposals to not have a quantitative monitoring and evaluation plan for success of the project.The proponents propose to link the biological and physical worlds through cause and effect processes and to develop an overarching "model" called the Physical Process Method (PPM) process. The project would provide input to the EDT process of evaluating aquatic habitat and predicting effects of habitat changes on anadromous fish populations. The ISRP is not convinced that a highly sophisticated mathematical approach in combination with EDT is appropriate at this time. The sub-models are available (and some were listed in the proposal) for many of the processes they want to link. Users may be better off to leave them unlinked and use them as needed, based on the combined expertise of several disciplines working together. An overarching Physical Processes Model may gain little not available from individual models for discrete processes. However, part of Phase 1, a directory of and synthesis report containing protocols and recommendations for use of individual physical process models in subbasin planning, may be useful. The ISRP agrees that a useful form for this inventory would be the style of presentation of protocols in the report "Inventory and Monitoring of Salmon Habitat in the Northwest: Directory and Synthesis of Protocols for Management/Research and Volunteers in Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana and British Columbia" by Johnson, et al. 2001.
Comment:
Statement of Potential Biological BenefitIndirect if any. Inventory and synthesize existing physical process tools to develop a database useful in habitat analyses and strategic planning.
Comments
The linking of models is something that does not lead to scientifically sound analysis. This project is not well thought out. It presents many ideas but no clear linkages between physical processes. Additionally, there is not enough information in the methods to provide for a more detailed review.
Already ESA Required?
No
Biop?
No
Comment:
Category:3. Other projects not recommended by staff
Comments: