Proposal title | Statistical Support for Salmonid Survival Studies |
Proposal ID | 198910700 |
Organization | University of Washington (UW) |
Proposal contact person or principal investigator |
Name | John R. Skalski |
Mailing address | UW School of Fisheries, 1325 Fourth Avenue, Suite 1820 Seattle, WA 98101-2509 |
Phone / email | 2066164851 / jrs@fish.washington.edu |
Manager authorizing this project | |
Review cycle | FY 2000 |
Province / Subbasin | Mainstem/Systemwide / Systemwide |
Short description | Improve monitoring and evaluation capabilities by developing better measurement tools and study designs to estimate juvenile and adult survival. Develop statistical methods to determine salmonid survival rates and survival relationships. |
Target species | Chinook salmon and steelhead |
Year | Accomplishment |
1989 |
Developed theory to assess survival effects that results from ambient river conditions. |
1990 |
Began software development for statistical analyses, and began statistical theory to assess individual covariate effects on survival. |
1991 |
Demonstrated ability to simultaneously assess ambient effects and individual covariate effects. |
1992 |
Extended computer software to include analysis of group and individual covariate effects. Proposed "strawman" design for development of PIT-tag facilities on Snake/Columbia River. Developed study plan for a Snake River survival study evaluation. |
1993 |
Completed statistical software development of analysis package--final debugging of computer program, helped facilitate Snake River survival study, and conducted analysis of hatchery survival studies. |
1994 |
Completed SURPH statistical software and dissemination of a users manual for statistical analysis of data. Continued to support NMFS survival studies. |
1995 |
Produced a PC version of SURPH software and sample size program to design tag-release studies. Continued to support NMFS survival studies. |
1996 |
Developed statistical methods for estimating season-wide survival. Developed proper statistical model to estimate survival rates for fall chinook with residualization . Continued to support NMFS survival studies. |
1997 |
Improved statistical models and software for expanded survival experiments. Continued to support survival studies. Investigate alternative approaches to ocean survival rates. Assisted Nez Perce tribe in performing survival analyses. |
1998 |
Developed batch analysis programs for NMFS to permit the statistical analysis of very large data sets. Developed new unified (PC and UNIX) version of SURPH with greater model specification abilities needed for paired- release investigations. |
1998 |
Completed statistical theory for longitudinal analysis of time-varying, individual-based covariates in survival analyses. |
1998 |
Demonstrated feasibility of extracting precise and detailed information on smolt survival and passage rates at hydroprojects using radiotelemetry models. |
Project ID | Title | Description |
8712700 |
Smolt Monitoring by Non-Federal Entities [PSMFC] |
Complementary, provides technical assistance and technology transfer of statistical software to assist survival analyses. |
8910800 |
Monitoring and Evaluation Modeling Support [UW] |
Complementary, maintains and upgrades statistical software, theory and methods for investigating juvenile and adult salmon and steelhead survival rates and relationships. |
9008000 |
Columbia Basin PIT-Tag Information System [PSMFC] |
Dependent, project requires high quality PIT-tag data made available through Project 90-080-00 PTAGIS database to extract PIT-tag information to analyze survival data in various formats. |
9102900 |
Supplementation and Survival of Fall Chinook in the Snake River [USFWS] |
Complementrary, provides analytical and statistical models and computer software (e.g., SURPH) for survival estimation. |
9105100 |
Monitoring and Evalution Statistical Support for Life-Cycle Studies [UW] |
Complementary, maintains and upgrades statistical software, theory and methods for investigating juvenile and adult salmon and steelhead survival rates and relationships. |
9302900 |
Survival Estimation for Dam/Reservoir Passage [NMFS] |
Complementary, provides analytical and statistical support to respond to NMFS requests to enhance survival estimation capabilities incorporated in Program SURPH. Responds to requests to NMFS to investigate alternative analyses. |
9303701 |
Technical Assistance with Life Cycle Modeling [PER Ltd.] |
Complementary, maintains and upgrades statistical software, theory and methods for investigating juvenile and adult salmon and steelhead survival rates and relationships. |
9503400 |
EW Program Support [BPA] |
Critical to development of improved analystical tools and consistency in survival estimation across all salmon life cycle stages to maximize learning and the ability to evaluate the success of implemented actions and identify future mitigation options. |
9600600 |
PATH Facilitation, Technical Assistance, & Peer Review [ESSA] |
Complementary, maintains and upgrades statistical software, theory and methods for investigating juvenile and adult salmon and steelhead survival rates and relationships. |
9600800 |
PATH - Participation by State & Tribal Agencies [ODFW] |
Complementary, maintains and upgrades statistical software, theory and methods for investigating juvenile and adult salmon and steelhead survival rates and relationships. |
9600801 |
Provide Scientific Input to PATH Process [NMFS] |
Complementary, maintains and upgrades statistical software, theory and methods for investigating juvenile and adult salmon and steelhead survival rates and relationships. |
9601700 |
Provide Technical Support in PATH [BA Inc.] |
Complementary, maintains and upgrades statistical software, theory and methods for investigating juvenile and adult salmon and steelhead survival rates and relationships. |
9700200 |
PATH-UW Technical Support |
Complementary, maintains and upgrades statistical software, theory and methods for investigating juvenile and adult salmon and steelhead survival rates and relationships. |
9800100 |
Analytical Support - PATH and ESA Biological Assessments [HES] |
Complementary, maintains and upgrades statistical software, theory and methods for investigating juvenile and adult salmon and steelhead survival rates and relationships. |
Schedule Constraints: Changes in the marking programs could impact survival research and scheduled analyses of these tagging studies to determine survival relationships.
This information was not provided on the original proposals, but was generated during the review process.
Comments:
There are no plans for formal evaluation other than those provided by observing the continued use of the products from this on-going project and the success of the investigators in publishing results. This appears to be redundant with 9105100. Narrative calls it complementary, but perhaps these two projects need to be combined. See comments on 9105100. The principal investigator is listed as .17 FTE but no other personnel are listed. There is inadequate detail on what the principal investigator will do. There should be a better description of indirect costs to the UW and direct costs for office space.