FY 2000 proposal 199007700
Contents
Section 1. General administrative information
Section 2. Past accomplishments
Section 3. Relationships to other projects
Section 4. Budgets for planning/design phase
Section 5. Budgets for construction/implementation phase
Section 6. Budgets for operations/maintenance phase
Section 7. Budgets for monitoring/evaluation phase
Section 8. Budget summary
Reviews and Recommendations
Additional documents
Title | Type |
---|---|
199007700 Narrative | Narrative |
199007700 Sponsor Response to the ISRP | Response |
Section 1. Administrative
Proposal title | Northern Pikeminnow Management Program |
Proposal ID | 199007700 |
Organization | Pacific States Marine Fisheries Commission (PSMFC) |
Proposal contact person or principal investigator | |
Name | Russell Porter |
Mailing address | 45 SE 82nd Dr., Suite 100 Gladstone, OR 97027-2522 |
Phone / email | 5036505400 / russell_porter@psmfc.org |
Manager authorizing this project | |
Review cycle | FY 2000 |
Province / Subbasin | Mainstem/Systemwide / Systemwide |
Short description | Reduce predation on juvenile salmonids by implementing fisheries to harvest northern pikeminnow in the mainstem Columbia and Snake rivers. Monitor effects of fisheries on predation by northern pikeminnow and other resident fish. |
Target species | Northern pikeminnow; all species and races of anadromous salmonids present |
Project location
Latitude | Longitude | Description |
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Reasonable and Prudent Alternatives (RPAs)
Sponsor-reported:
RPA |
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Relevant RPAs based on NMFS/BPA review:
Reviewing agency | Action # | BiOp Agency | Description |
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Section 2. Past accomplishments
Year | Accomplishment |
---|---|
1993 | Initial index of northern pikeminnow predation on juvenile salmonids completed. |
1993 | Sport-reward and dam-angling fisheries found to be successful in removing large numbers of northern pikeminnow. |
1997 | Confirmation that compensation by northern pikeminnow and other resident fish predators has not occurred. |
1997 | Predation on juvenile salmonids by northern pikeminnow reduced from pre-program levels. |
Section 3. Relationships to other projects
Project ID | Title | Description |
---|---|---|
9007800 | Evaluate Predator Control and Provide Technical Support for PATH | 9007800 would have little to evaluate if 9007700 was not conducted |
9702400 | Avian Predation on Juvenile Salmonids in the Lower Columbia River | Complementary study of predation by birds downstream from area covered by 9007700. |
9702600 | Identify Marine Fish Predators of Salmon and Estimate Predation Rates | Complementary study of predation by marine animals. |
8201300 | Coded Wire Tag Recovery Program | |
9705911 | Securing Wildlife Mitigation Sites in Oregon - Irrigon WMA Addition | |
9705904 | Securing Wildlife Mitigation Sites in Oregon - Horn Butte | |
9705900 | Securing Wildlife Mitigation Sites in Oregon | |
9079 | Inventory Resident Fish in Bonneville, The Dalles, & John Day Reservoirs | |
8605000 | White Sturgeon Mitigation & Restoration in the Columbia & Snake Rivers | |
8810804 | Streamnet: The Northwest Aquatic Information Network | |
9105 | Determine if Salmon Are Successfully Spawning Below Lower Columbia Dams | |
8906900 | Annual Coded Wire Tag Program - Missing Production Oregon Hatcheries | |
9306000 | Evaluate Columbia River Select Area Fisheries | |
20515 | Mainstem Columbia River Umbrella Proposal | |
9705909 | Securing Wildlife Mitigation Sites in Oregon - Mitchell Point | |
9600800 | PATH-Participation by State & Tribal Agencies |
Section 4. Budget for Planning and Design phase
Task-based budget
Objective | Task | Duration in FYs | Estimated 2000 cost | Subcontractor |
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Outyear objectives-based budget
Objective | Starting FY | Ending FY | Estimated cost |
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Outyear budgets for Planning and Design phase
Section 5. Budget for Construction and Implementation phase
Task-based budget
Objective | Task | Duration in FYs | Estimated 2000 cost | Subcontractor |
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Outyear objectives-based budget
Objective | Starting FY | Ending FY | Estimated cost |
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Outyear budgets for Construction and Implementation phase
Section 6. Budget for Operations and Maintenance phase
Task-based budget
Objective | Task | Duration in FYs | Estimated 2000 cost | Subcontractor |
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Outyear objectives-based budget
Objective | Starting FY | Ending FY | Estimated cost |
---|
Outyear budgets for Operations and Maintenance phase
Section 7. Budget for Monitoring and Evaluation phase
Task-based budget
Objective | Task | Duration in FYs | Estimated 2000 cost | Subcontractor |
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Outyear objectives-based budget
Objective | Starting FY | Ending FY | Estimated cost |
---|
Outyear budgets for Monitoring and Evaluation phase
Section 8. Estimated budget summary
Itemized budget
Item | Note | FY 2000 cost |
---|---|---|
Personnel | $1,100,000 | |
Fringe | $400,000 | |
Supplies | $45,000 | |
Operating | $150,000 | |
Travel | $225,000 | |
Indirect | $386,000 | |
Other | Reward and Prize Fund | $1,000,000 |
$3,306,000 |
Total estimated budget
Total FY 2000 cost | $3,306,000 |
Amount anticipated from previously committed BPA funds | $0 |
Total FY 2000 budget request | $3,306,000 |
FY 2000 forecast from 1999 | $0 |
% change from forecast | 0.0% |
Cost sharing
Organization | Item or service provided | Amount | Cash or in-kind |
---|
Other budget explanation
Schedule Constraints: Schedule constraints are minor, but are related to yearly flow rates and temperatures in the Columbia and Snake rivers that affect availability of northern pikeminnow to anglers. Biological Opinion guidelines may affect program duration or start date.
Reviews and recommendations
This information was not provided on the original proposals, but was generated during the review process.
Comment:
Recommendation: Fund, but this project may benefit from an in-depth cost-benefit analysis with consideration of alternative methods of predator control or alternative strategies of deliveries.Comments: This proposal is a great job on what must be a continuing controversial project to justify. They convince us of the technical merits of this program. The proposal writing is excellent, the arguments that relatively low exploitation rates (10%) can have and have had important effects on reducing squawfish predation seem well supported, and the number of scholarly publications that have resulted from the ongoing program is impressive. This publication indicates good management of past activities and continued inspection of results. It was unfortunate, however, that several of the key references were not yet available or that supporting data was not presented. For example, estimation of the exploitation rates on the pikeminnow was frequently cited but supporting data was not presented.
Given the strength of the technical presentation and the size of this project's budget, it is to be expected that many of the comments from reviewers concerned the budget. For example, not all of the component projects appear to be equally successful and it is recommended that the budget request be broken down by sub-project (reward sport fishery, dam angling and site specific fishing) to allow better cost/benefit analyses. The annual costs for personnel and administration/delivery appear to be too high and should be carefully examined. One reviewer commented "that it is probably a misnomer to refer to the bounty-fishing as a "sport-reward" fishery. Has an economist taken a look at the dynamics and livelihood of the participants in the bounty fishery?
Due to the high annual cost in this project, reviewers suggest that it may be time to creatively re-think how this program could be delivered. Given that squawfish are long-lived and slow growing, and that the number of squawfish that are being removed appears to be declining in recent years, a cost/benefit analyses should be conducted to assess alternative predator control strategies. Running the predator removal program every second or third year may be equally effective; or less expensive designs could be developed for a variety of strategies, including running the program in alternate years but offering increased incentives for fishing (e.g. double or higher the current reward offered for each fish). The recruitment relationship for squawfish should also be determined and the size of fish for which rewards are offered should be tied directly to this recruitment (growth rate and size-at-age) relationship. The attractiveness and spin-off benefits (e.g. increased tourism) of other types of rewards, incentives and approaches (e.g. major international squawfish derby every year with large prizes for capture of tagged squawfish) could be investigated as a way to maintain effectiveness and control costs.
A minor suggestion is that "In Press" MS references did not indicate the journals that had accepted the work. Citations should include this information.
Future submissions should endeavor to better describe the budget for the reward system and the $1 million personnel costs. A concern about current work is whether the investigators are continuing to do verification on the captured pikeminnows to confirm assumptions of predation rates on salmon.
The project is evaluated under the Implementation and Management criteria but two notable rating criteria were not addressed in the proposal: alternative approaches and their evaluation. Why should BPA fund the project? Given the cost of this program, both of these criteria are reasonable questions.
Comment:
Comment:
Based on FY99 contract, there will be $800,000 in carry forward for FY00.Comment:
Criteria all: Met? Yes - Not supported by PATH SRP weight of evidence report. Independent scientists selected 0% rather than 25% effect in modeling.Comment:
(c) predator control - (9007700, 20095 - PSMFC, OSU/CRITFC), approx. $3.14 million.Issue 1: (avian predation) The Council requested a long-term management plan for Caspian tern predator control activities funded by Bonneville. A report on the management plan to the Council was provided on September 21.
Issue 2: (Northern Pikeminnow) Regarding Pikeminnow, are the projects proposed consistent with that prior guidance to utilize those most cost-effective means of reducing these predators and not an expenditure on additional research oriented activities?
Past Council Treatment: (avian predation) On July 22, 1999 the Council sent a letter to the National Marine Fisheries Service, CBFWA, and the Corps requesting that they develop a management plan for Caspian tern predator control. That management plan was provided on September 21st, and a presentation was made to the Council.
Northern Pikeminnow: In its Fiscal Year 1998 recommendations, the Council responded to an ISRP report criticizing the level of expenditures devoted to the Northern Pikeminnow control program by recommending funding for those portions of the proposed projects that utilized what experience had demonstrated as being the most cost-effective methods for reducing these predators, and recommending that funding be discontinued for those methods that had not been as demonstrably effective. In addition, the Council noted that the project had been so successfully monitored and evaluated that the questions related to predator behavior, and the benefit obtained by reducing their numbers had been answered, and that additional efforts to evaluate such issues were unnecessary.
Council Recommendation: (avian predation) The Council evaluated the avian predation project after considering the report and presentation by USFWS, NMFS and the Corps on the long-term management plan on September 21st. Following the ISRP presentation and discussion on this project, the Council became extremely concerned by what appeared to be a high level of disagreement and/or lack of focus on a plan to dramatically reduce the predation rates by Caspian terns. The Council sent a letter to NMFS asking that it assert a leadership role in quickly developing a plan to reduce predation rates on juvenile salmonids to less than five percent in the year 2000 out-migration.
On November 2nd, representatives of the Working Group made a second presentation to the Council and outlined an Fiscal Year 2000 work plan that was supported by a majority of the group, and was aimed at reducing predation on juvenile salmonids by 25 to 45 percent in the year 2000. On November 3rd the Council voted to recommend to Bonneville that the activities planned by the Caspian Tern Working Group in its Fiscal Year 2000 Tern Management Plan be funded. While approving the project for Fiscal Year 2000, the Council continues to seek development and implementation of a workplan that reduces predation below five percent beyond year 2000. The Council is also concerned that the NMFS and USFWS have not made a significant financial contribution to this effort, and will evaluate the contributions from these entities in future proposals seeking Bonneville funds for this type of work.
Council Recommendation: (Northern Pikeminnow) The Council reviewed comments submitted by the sponsor in response to the ISRP report (Appendix B, p. 144, CBFWA August 20, 1999), stating that the proposal focuses on what has been shown as the most cost-effective reduction strategies. The Council finds that these sponsor comments about funding allocations within the project satisfy past Council concerns for purposes of the Fiscal Year 2000 proposal.
Therefore, the Council recommends that Northern pikeminnow project # 9007700 be funded at the level proposed by CBFWA. Funding is recommended upon the following conditions:
- The Council recommends that carryover funds from Fiscal Year 1999 be made available for this ongoing project, and;
- Funding of this program in future years will be dependent on an analysis and report to the Council that addresses the following
- the declining performance and justification of the entire program, specifically the dam angling and site-specific fisheries;
- fiscal review of administrative and personnel costs for all components;
- feasibility and cost/benefit analysis of alternative predator control strategies
Comment:
[Decision made in 9-22-99 Council Meeting];NW Power and Conservation Council's FY 2006 Project Funding Review
expense
May 2005
FY05 NPCC start of year: | FY06 NPCC staff preliminary: | FY06 NPCC July draft start of year: |
$2,050,000 | $3,770,000 | $3,770,000 |
Sponsor comments: See comment at Council's website