FY 2000 proposal 199007800

Additional documents

TitleType
199007800 Narrative Narrative
199007800 Sponsor Response to the ISRP Response

Section 1. Administrative

Proposal titleEvaluate Predator Removal: Large-Scale Patterns
Proposal ID199007800
OrganizationU.S. Geological Survey (USGS)
Proposal contact person or principal investigator
NameJames H. Petersen
Mailing address5501A Cook-Underwood Rd. Cook, WA 98605
Phone / email5095382299 / jim_petersen@usgs.gov
Manager authorizing this project
Review cycleFY 2000
Province / SubbasinMainstem/Systemwide / Systemwide
Short descriptionEvaluate causes of large-scale geographic patterns in predation on juvenile salmon by northern pikeminnow. Examine complex interactions of temperature, juvenile salmon, and juvenile American shad on predation patterns in mainstem rivers.
Target speciesNorthern pikeminnow, juvenile salmonids, juvenile American shad
Project location
LatitudeLongitudeDescription
Reasonable and Prudent Alternatives (RPAs)

Sponsor-reported:

RPA

Relevant RPAs based on NMFS/BPA review:

Reviewing agencyAction #BiOp AgencyDescription

Section 2. Past accomplishments

YearAccomplishment
1991 Published results of early predation studies in John Day Reservoir
1994 Published results of studies on light intensity, predator physiology, and salmonid loss estimates
1995 Published results of system-wide indexing of predation
1997 Conducted workshops to train regional biologists in bioenergetic modeling techniques
1998 Manuscript accepted on northern pikeminnow bioenergetics modeling

Section 3. Relationships to other projects

Project IDTitleDescription
9007700 Northern Pikeminnow Management Program Provide supporting analyses to cooperating agencies
9600600 PATH - (also other PATH-related projects) Provides supporting analyses for PATH analyses of system-wide salmonid mortality
9702400 Predation by Fish-Eating Birds on Juvenile Salmonids in the Columbia River Provides analyses of fish predation in the lower Columbia River that can be compared to bird predation estimates.
20515 Mainstem Columbia River Umbrella

Section 4. Budget for Planning and Design phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2000 costSubcontractor
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
Outyear budgets for Planning and Design phase

Section 5. Budget for Construction and Implementation phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2000 costSubcontractor
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
Outyear budgets for Construction and Implementation phase

Section 6. Budget for Operations and Maintenance phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2000 costSubcontractor
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
Outyear budgets for Operations and Maintenance phase

Section 7. Budget for Monitoring and Evaluation phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2000 costSubcontractor
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
Outyear budgets for Monitoring and Evaluation phase

Section 8. Estimated budget summary

Itemized budget
ItemNoteFY 2000 cost
Personnel $54,108
Fringe $14,812
Supplies $500
Operating $500
Travel $15,500
Indirect $32,460
$117,880
Total estimated budget
Total FY 2000 cost$117,880
Amount anticipated from previously committed BPA funds$0
Total FY 2000 budget request$117,880
FY 2000 forecast from 1999$0
% change from forecast0.0%
Cost sharing
OrganizationItem or service providedAmountCash or in-kind
USGS Use of agency boats $5,000 unknown
ODFW Miscellaneous personnel $2,000 unknown
Other budget explanation

Schedule Constraints: Field study will require collecting permits.


Reviews and recommendations

This information was not provided on the original proposals, but was generated during the review process.

Recommendation:
Do not fund as a separate program
Date:
Jun 15, 1999

Comment:

Recommendation: Do not fund as a separate program, the project should be incorporated as an integral part of Northern Pikeminnow Management Program, 9007700.

Comments: This proposal argues logically for further investigation into exploitation rates stated in Proj. 9007700, but it seems reasonable that this proposal be integrated with Proj. 9007700 and the budget be included in the total (Proj. 9007800 would require 3.5% of the total). Earlier work resulted in very useful results. However, there appears to be potential for diminishing returns and it is unclear what direct benefits may result for fish and wildlife. For example, if higher water temperature in the lower river is in fact found to be the most likely explanation for the larger size of squawfish and higher predation rates on salmon, this will be interesting. More likely, there is little that can practically be done to change this circumstance. Further, anything that could be done would also be contingent on the recruitment dynamics of pikeminnow in the lower river (e.g., immigration from up-river versus growth and survival in the lower river population).

On its own, this project seems to have limited applicability. However, the issues raised should clearly be considered within the broader Project #9007700 (Northern Pikeminnow Management Program). The BPA cost appears high for objectives 1 and 2, and no funds appear allocated for objective 3.


Recommendation:
Fund
Date:
Aug 20, 1999

Comment:


Recommendation:
Date:
Aug 20, 1999

Comment:

Evaluation of predator control benefits. This will be the last year. Future work should be conditioned on the results of this project. Responses to criteria assumes this study is wrapping up not starting a new study.
Recommendation:
Date:
Aug 20, 1999

Comment:

Technical Criteria 1: Met? Yes -

Programmatic Criteria 2: Met? Yes - Question whether Obj. 2 is achievable

Milestone Criteria 3: Met? Yes -

Resource Criteria 4: Met? Yes -


Recommendation:
Fund for the one year requested
Date:
Oct 29, 1999

Comment:

Fund for the one year requested. The Northern Pikeminnow Management Program, project 9007700, should incorporate the results of this project. An examination of this proposal should be included in the Council's review of the Northern Pikeminnow Management Program. In addition, The ISRP recommends that there be close coordination of this project with project 9007700, but agree that the cost of including the project as a subcontract under project 9007700 would probably increase the cost. Perhaps a better way to express our recommendation is that project 9007700 might be reduced by an appropriate amount to allow funding of project 9007800.
Recommendation:
Fund
Date:
Nov 8, 1999

Comment:


Recommendation:
Fund
Date:
Mar 1, 2000

Comment:

[Decision made in 11-3-99 Council Meeting]