FY 2001 Ongoing proposal 199702400

Section 1. General administrative information
Section 2. Past accomplishments
Section 3. Relationships to other projects
Section 4. Budgets for planning/design phase
Section 5. Budgets for construction/implementation phase
Section 6. Budgets for operations/maintenance phase
Section 7. Budgets for monitoring/evaluation phase
Section 8. Budget summary

Reviews and Recommendations

Additional documents

Title	Type

Section 1. Administrative

Proposal title	Avian Predation on Juvenile Salmonids in the Lower Columbia River
Proposal ID	199702400
Organization	Oregon State University/Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission/Real Time Research (OSU/CRITFC/RTR)
Proposal contact person or principal investigator
Name	Dr. Daniel D. Roby
Mailing address	OCFWRU, 104 Nash Hall, Oregon State University Corvallis, OR 97331-3803
Phone / email	5417371955 / robyd@ucs.orst.edu
Manager authorizing this project	Dr. Daniel D. Roby
Review cycle	FY 2001 Ongoing
Province / Subbasin	Columbia River Estuary / Mainstem Columbia
Short description	Monitor and evaluate the efficacy of management initiatives to reduce predation by colonial waterbirds on juvenile salmonids in the lower Columbia River. Assist resource managers in the development of a long-term avian predation management plan.
Target species

Project location

Latitude	Longitude	Description

Reasonable and Prudent Alternatives (RPAs)

Sponsor-reported:

RPA

Relevant RPAs based on NMFS/BPA review:

Reviewing agency	Action #	BiOp Agency	Description

Section 2. Past accomplishments

Year	Accomplishment
1996	Identify the locations and population size of major piscivorous waterbird colonies on the lower Columbia River.
1996	Recover PIT tags from the Rice Island Caspian tern colony in the Columbia River Estuary.
1997	Determine the population size and trajectory of nine major piscivorous waterbird colonies on the lower Columbia River.
1997	Determine the diet composition of nine major piscivorous waterbird colonies on the lower Columbia River.
1997	Recover PIT tags from the Rice Island Caspian tern colony in the Columbia River Estuary.
1997	Use a bioenergetics approach to estimate the total number of juvenile salmonids consumed by the Rice Island Caspian tern colony.
1998	Verify and replicate estimates of predation on juvenile salmonids by Caspian terns nesting on Rice Island.
1998	Use a bioenergetics approach to estimate the total number of juvenile salmonids consumed by double-crested cormorants. nesting in the Columbia River Estuary.
1998	Collect information on the distribution, foraging range, and habitat utilization of Caspian terns in the Columbia River Estuary.
1998	Monitor selected upriver piscivorous waterbird colonies to determine changes in population size and diet composition.
1998	Test the feasibility of social attraction methods to relocate the Caspian tern colony to a new nesting location as a means to reduce their impact on survival of juvenile salmonids.
1998	Recover PIT tags at the Rice Island tern and cormorant colonies and the Crescent Island Caspian tern colony.
1999	Test the feasibility of methods to deter tern nesting on Rice Island.
1999	Implement methods to encourage nesting (i.e., habitat modifications and social attraction) by Caspian terns at East Sand Island.
1999	Test hypothesis that terns can be relocated from an established colony site to a newly restored colony site using these methods (see above).
1999	Test hypothesis that terns nesting in closer proximity to marine habitats (i.e., lower estuary) would consume fewer juvenile salmonids than terns nesting further upriver (i.e., upper estuary).
1999	Test hypothesis that you can control where terns forage by controlling where they nest.
1999	Test hypothesis that tern productivity would be similar or better at the newly restored colony site on East Sand Island as compared to the established colony site on Rice Island.
1999	Verify estimates of predation on juvenile salmonids by double-crested cormorants nesting in the Columbia River Estuary.
1999	Monitor selected upriver piscivorous waterbird colonies to determine changes in population size and diet composition.

Section 3. Relationships to other projects

Project ID	Title	Description

Section 4. Budget for Planning and Design phase

Task-based budget

Objective	Task	Duration in FYs	Estimated 2001 cost	Subcontractor
1. Development of avian predation management plans	a. Provide technical assistance to Avian Predation Working Group	3 years	$32,800	Yes

Outyear objectives-based budget

Objective	Starting FY	Ending FY	Estimated cost

Outyear budgets for Planning and Design phase

FY 2003	FY 2004	FY 2002
$45,000	$50,000	$40,000

Section 5. Budget for Construction and Implementation phase

Task-based budget

Objective	Task	Duration in FYs	Estimated 2001 cost	Subcontractor
1. Measure impacts of unmanaged piscivorous waterbird colonies on the survival of juvenile salmonids	a. Conduct surveys to estimate size and productivity of unmanaged piscivorous waterbird colonies.	2 years	$57,600	Yes
	b. Determine diet composition on smolt consumption rates of unmanaged piscivorous waterbirds.	2 years	$49,200	Yes
	c. Assess foraging distribution, foraging range, and habitat use of unmanaged piscivorous waterbirds.	2 years	$82,200	Yes
	d. Test the feasibility of management alternatives to reduce predation by piscivorous waterbirds.	2 years	$44,000	Yes

Outyear objectives-based budget

Objective	Starting FY	Ending FY	Estimated cost

Outyear budgets for Construction and Implementation phase

FY 2003	FY 2002
$200,000	$225,000

Section 6. Budget for Operations and Maintenance phase

Task-based budget

Objective	Task	Duration in FYs	Estimated 2001 cost	Subcontractor
1. Measure impacts of managed and unmanaged piscivorous waterbird colonies on the survival of juvenile salmonids.	a. Conduct surveys to estimate size and productivity of piscivorous waterbird colonies.	3 years	$28,500	Yes
	b. Determine diet composition on smolt consumption rates of piscivorous waterbirds.	3 years	$28,500	Yes
	c. Assess foraging distribution, foraging range, and habitat use of piscivorous waterbirds.	3 years	$28,500	Yes
	d. Test the feasibility of management alternatives to reduce predation by piscivorous waterbirds.	3 years	$28,500	Yes

Outyear objectives-based budget

Objective	Starting FY	Ending FY	Estimated cost

Outyear budgets for Operations and Maintenance phase

FY 2003	FY 2004	FY 2002
$114,000	$114,000	$114,000

Section 7. Budget for Monitoring and Evaluation phase

Task-based budget

Objective	Task	Duration in FYs	Estimated 2001 cost	Subcontractor
1. Implement, monitor, and evaluate management initiatives implemented to reduce avian predation on juvenile salmonids.	a. Provide technical and other assistance to managers implementing management initiatives.	3 years	$53,100	Yes
	b. Conduct surveys to assess changes in size and productivity of managed piscivorous waterbird colonies.	3 years	$66,500	Yes
	c. Determine changes in diet composition and smolt consumption rates of managed piscivorous waterbirds.	3 years	$53,000	Yes
	d. Assess changes in foraging distribution, foraging range, and habitat use of managed piscivorous waterbirds.	3 years	$89,600	Yes

Outyear objectives-based budget

Objective	Starting FY	Ending FY	Estimated cost

Outyear budgets for Monitoring and Evaluation phase

FY 2003	FY 2004	FY 2002
$250,000	$250,000	$250,000

Section 8. Estimated budget summary

Itemized budget

Item	Note	FY 2001 cost
Personnel	FTE: 0.5 (note: Dan Roby's salary costs covered by OCFWRU)	$12,000
Fringe		$2,400
Travel		$500
Indirect		$4,800
Subcontractor	CRITFC and RTR	$8,600
Other	Services and Tuition	$4,500
Personnel	FTE: 3.33	$59,800
Fringe		$12,000
Supplies		$15,850
Travel		$7,250
Indirect		$33,600
Capital	Telemetry receiving stations	$13,100
Subcontractor	CRITFC and RTR	$61,100
Other	Services and Tuition	$30,300
Personnel	FTE: 0.5	$12,000
Fringe		$2,400
Supplies		$12,900
Travel		$6,700
Indirect		$19,200
Subcontractor	CRITFC and RTR	$29,800
Other	Services and Tuition	$31,000
Personnel	FTE: 2.83	$56,100
Fringe		$11,200
Supplies		$52,700
Travel		$10,800
Indirect		$38,300
Subcontractor	CRITFC and RTR	$68,600
Other	Services and Tuition	$24,500
		$642,000

Total estimated budget

Total FY 2001 cost	$642,000
Amount anticipated from previously committed BPA funds	$0
Total FY 2001 budget request	$642,000
FY 2001 forecast from 2000	$550,000
% change from forecast	16.7%

Reason for change in estimated budget

The FY2001 budget forecast (in the FY2000 proposal) was based on the assumption that we would be successful in both preventing all tern nesting on Rice Island, and the successful establishment of a new tern colony outside the Columbia River Estuary in 2000. These management objectives were not met because of a lawsuit filed to prevent hazing of birds on Rice Island and our failure to get permission from Washington Department of Natural Resources to attract terns to Cate Island, Grays Harbor (due to local political opposition to the plan). We intend to attempt to accomplish these same management objectives in 2001.

Reason for change in scope

We have not changed the scope of the proposal for 2001, as compared to the proposal submitted for 2000.

Cost sharing

Organization	Item or service provided	Amount	Cash or in-kind

Reviews and recommendations

This information was not provided on the original proposals, but was generated during the review process.

REVIEW:
CBFWA Funding Recommendation

Recommendation:
Ongoing Funding: yes; New Funding: no

Date:
Jul 14, 2000

Comment:

The MainSys SRT questions the budget request. The implication is that specific objectives and tasks will not be completed in FY 2000, yet no indication of anticipated carry forward has been made in the proposal. The SRT is also concerned that the court injunction may have serious impacts on the possible scope of work for this project in the future.

The FY2001 budget forecast (in the FY 2000 proposal) was based on the assumption that we would be successful in both preventing all tern nesting on Rice Island, and the successful establishment of a new tern colony outside the Columbia River Estuary in 2000. These management objectives were not met because of a lawsuit filed to prevent hazing of birds on Rice Island and our failure to get permission from Washington Department of Natural Resources to attract terns to Cate Island, Grays Harbor (due to local political opposition to the plan). We intend to attempt to accomplish these same management objectives in 2001.

We have not changed the scope of the proposal for 2001, as compared to the proposal submitted for 2000.

REVIEW:
NWPPC Funding Recommendation

Recommendation:
Fund

Date:
Sep 13, 2000

Comment:

REVIEW:
NW Power and Conservation Council's FY 2006 Project Funding Review

Funding category:
expense

Date:
May 2005

FY05 NPCC start of year:	FY06 NPCC staff preliminary:	FY06 NPCC July draft start of year:
$250,000	$470,000	$470,000

Sponsor comments: See comment at Council's website