Return to Proposal Finder FY 1999 Proposal 198910700

Proposal Table of Contents

Additional Documents

Section 1. General Administrative information
Section 2. Past accomplishments
Section 3. Relationships to other projects
Section 4. Objectives, tasks and schedules
Section 5. Budget
Section 6. References
Section 7. Abstract

Reviews and Recommendations
Title Type File Size File Date

Section 1. General Administrative Information

Title of Project Proposal Statistical Support for Salmonid Survival Studies
BPA Project Proposal Number 198910700
Business name of agency, institution,
or organization requesting funding
University of Washington
Business acronym (if appropriate) UW

Proposal contact person or principal investigator

Name John R. Skalski
Mailing Address School of Fisheries, UW, 1325 Fourth Avenue, Suite 1820
City, State, Zip Seattle, WA 98101-2509
Phone 2066164851
Fax 2066167452
Manager of program authorizing this project
Review Cycle FY 1999
Province Mainstem
Subbasin Mainstem
Short Description Improve monitoring and evaluation capabilities by developing better measurement tools and study designs to estimate juvenile and adult survival. Develop statistical methods to determine smolt survival rates and survival relationships.
Target Species Snake River and Mid-Columbia chinook salmon and steelhead

Project Location

[No information]

Reasonable and Prudent Alternatives (RPAs)

Sponsor-Reported Relevant RPAs

Sponsor listed no RPAs for this project proposal

Relevant RPAs based upon NMFS & BPA Review

NMFS and BPA did not associate any reasonable and prudent alternatives with this project proposal

NPPC Program Measure Number(s) which this project addresses: NPPC Doc 94-55: 3.2, 3.2F, 4.3B, 4.3C.1, 5.0F, 5.2A.7
FWS/NMFS Biological Opinion Number(s) which this project addresses: NMFS 1995 Hydrosystem Operations BO: RPA 13, Develop comprehensive monitoring, evaluation and research program; RPA 13f, Evaluate juvenile survival during downstream migration; RPA 17, Test hypotheses underlying life cycle models.
Other Planning Document References

CBFWA-Generated Information

Database Administrator notes on the history of this proposal form: BiOp designation from 4/16/03 budget estimates spreadsheet.
Type of Project (assigned by CBFWA Analysts): anadromous

Section 2. Past Accomplishments

n/a or no information

Section 3. Relationships to Other Projects

Project ID Title Description Umbrella
9008000 Columbia Basin PIT-Tag Information System [PSMFC] This UW project requires high quality PIT-tag data made available through PTAGIS (Project 9008000). Project produces data queries tailored to PTAGIS to extract PIT-tag information to analyze survival data in various formats. No
9102900 Supplementation and Survival of Fall Chinook in Snake River [BRD/USGS] BRD uses the statistical models and computer software (e.g., SURPH) for survival estimation developed, enhanced, and maintained by this UW project. No
9302900 Survival Estimation for Dam/Reservoir Passage [NMFS-CZES] Provides direct technical and analytical support to NMFS field studies. Specifically, responds to NMFS requests to enhance survival estimation capabilities incorporated in Program SURPH. Responds to requests to NMFS to investigate alternative analyses. No
8712700 Smolt Monitoring by Non-Federal Entities [PSMFC] Technical assistance and technology transfer of statistical software to Nez Perce Tribe to assist their survival analyses. No
9503400 EW Program Support [BPA] Technical assistance to BPA EW staff related to performance of internal assessment requirements; subject area conduct and analysis of Columbia River Basin survival studies. No

Section 4. Objectives, Tasks and Schedules

Objectives and Tasks

Objective Task
1. Maintenance of SURPH.1 Software a. Maintain upkeep of both workstation and PC versions of SURPH software.
1. Maintenance of SURPH.1 Software b. Maintain Internet access for both workstation and PC versions of SURPH software.
1. Maintenance of SURPH.1 Software c. Alter SURPH software as required to work on changing computer systems and platforms.
1. Maintenance of SURPH.1 Software d. Respond to user questions and provide users with manuals and individual instruction.
2. Improve SURPH statistical software a. Implement new time-varying covariate analyses
2. Improve SURPH statistical software b. Implement new, more flexible modeling algorithm
2. Improve SURPH statistical software c. Develop unified UNIX and PC software
3. Investigate use of radiotelemetry in survival studies a. Complete analyses of existing radiotelemetry data for the development of statistical methods and software to extract survival information from radiotagged smolt telemetry studies.
3. Investigate use of radiotelemetry in survival studies b. Provide guidelines on conducting radiotelemetry studies, required release sizes, and their proper analysis.

Objective Schedules and Costs

Objective Start Date End Date Measurable Biological Objectives Milestone FY 2000 Cost %
1 01/01/99 12/01/99 41.0%
2 01/01/99 12/01/99 43.0%
3 01/01/99 12/01/99 16.0%

Section 5. Estimated Budget Summary

Itemized Budget

Item Note FY 1999 Cost
Personnel $ 97,100
Fringe $ 20,500
Supplies Includes computer upgrades, software, licenses, services, etc. $ 12,600
Operating O&M occur across a number of budget items. For FY99, 41% of total budget = $75,153. $ 0
Travel $ 1,800
Indirect 26% of total direct costs less costs for equipment, graduate operating fee, and office lease $ 36,000
Subcontractor None $ 0
Other $ 15,300
Total Itemized Budget $183,300

Total estimated budget

Total FY 1999 project cost $183,300
Amount anticipated from previously committed BPA Funds $ 0
Total FY 1999 budget request $183,300
FY 1999 forecast from 1998 $ 0
% change from forecast 0.0%

Reason for change in estimated budget

Not applicable

Reason for change in scope

Not applicable

Cost Sharing

Not applicable

Outyear Budget Totals

2000 2001 2002 2003
All Phases $187,000 $192,000 $199,000 $205,000
Total Outyear Budgets $187,000 $192,000 $199,000 $205,000

Other Budget Explanation

Schedule Constraints: Changes in the marking programs could impact survival research and scheduled analyses of these tagging studies to determine survival relationships.

Section 6. References

n/a or no information

Section 7. Abstract


Project 8910700 was initiated in 1989 to improve monitoring and evaluation capabilities of the Columbia River Fish and Wildlife Program (FWP) by developing better measurement tools and study designs to evaluate relationships between ambient environmental conditions and the survival of juvenile and adult salmonids. The 1994 FWP states that the relationship between spring and summer flow, velocity, and fish survival should receive highest priority in the region’s research efforts. Throughout its history, this project has provided statistical support and guidance on the design and analysis of PIT-tag survival studies to the Northwest fisheries community. Estimators of smolt and adult salmon survival rates are developed using maximum likelihood methods and generalized least-squares regression models based on release-recapture theory. Tests of survival hypotheses and estimation of survival relationships are based on state-of-the-art statistical analyses devised specifically to assess relationships within capture data. Statistical software (e.g., SURPH.1) is developed and distributed to support ongoing survival investigations. The ultimate outcome of increased passage survival through the FCRPS depends upon the effectiveness of these survival measures to monitor migration success, investigate river management decisions, and to provide baseline information to evaluate future mitigation options. This project is anticipated to continue in some form beyond 2002 as part of the adaptive management monitoring and evaluation framework of the FWP. Monitoring and evaluation of products comes from annual post-season evaluations performed by the contractor, direct users of the products, e.g., NMFS, PATH and other regional entities, and independent scientific peer reviews.

Reviews and Recommendations

This information was not provided on the original proposals, but was generated during the review process.

CBFWA: Nonwatershed Technical Group Comments Recommendation:
May 13, 1998
[There are no budget numbers associated with this review.]

Criteria 1: Technical Criteria - Incomplete: Not clear who is using the support provided.

Criteria 2: Objectives Criteria - Yes: Rather vague

Criteria 3: Milestones Criteria - Yes

Criteria 4: Resources Criteria - Yes:

CBFWA Funding Recommendation Recommendation:
May 13, 1998
1999 2000 2001
$180,000 $187,000 $192,000
Hold at FY98 funding

ISRP Review , ISRP 1998-1 Recommendation:
Jun 18, 1998
[There are no budget numbers associated with this review.]
This is a good proposal ranked near the top of the set. It includes direct linkage to other projects and has a highly productive history. The project provides necessary upkeep and improvements of the model and radiotelemetry statistics seems like a reasonable addition.

NW Power and Conservation Council's FY 2006 Project Funding Review Funding category:
May 2005
FY05 NPCC Start of Year:
FY06 NPCC Staff Preliminary:
FY06 NPCC July Draft Start of Year:
Sponsor (U of W) Comments (Go to Original on NPCC Website):

Sponsor (U of W) Comments (Go to Original on NPCC Website):

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