Return to Proposal Finder FY 1999 Proposal 198910800

Proposal Table of Contents

Additional Documents

Section 1. General Administrative information
Section 2. Past accomplishments
Section 3. Relationships to other projects
Section 4. Objectives, tasks and schedules
Section 5. Budget
Section 6. References
Section 7. Abstract

Reviews and Recommendations
Title Type File Size File Date


Section 1. General Administrative Information

Title of Project Proposal Monitor and Evaluate Modeling Support
BPA Project Proposal Number 198910800
Business name of agency, institution,
or organization requesting funding
University of Washington
Business acronym (if appropriate) UW
 

Proposal contact person or principal investigator

Name James J. Anderson
Mailing Address 1325 - 4th Ave., Suite 1820
City, State, Zip Seattle, WA 98101
Phone 2065424772
Fax 2066167452
E-mail jim@fish.washington.edu
 
Manager of program authorizing this project
 
Review Cycle FY 1999
Province Systemwide
Subbasin Mainstem
 
Short Description Provide analytical tools and databases required to evaluate the effectiveness of hydrosystem operations and other mitigation measures for improved fish survival as required to meet obligations of the ESA, NEPA, and NW Power Act.
Target Species


Project Location

[No information]


Reasonable and Prudent Alternatives (RPAs)

Sponsor-Reported Relevant RPAs

Sponsor listed no RPAs for this project proposal

Relevant RPAs based upon NMFS & BPA Review

NMFS and BPA did not associate any reasonable and prudent alternatives with this project proposal


NPPC Program Measure Number(s) which this project addresses:
FWS/NMFS Biological Opinion Number(s) which this project addresses:
Other Planning Document References


CBFWA-Generated Information

Database Administrator notes on the history of this proposal form: None
Type of Project (assigned by CBFWA Analysts): anadromous


Section 2. Past Accomplishments

n/a or no information


Section 3. Relationships to Other Projects

n/a or no information


Section 4. Objectives, Tasks and Schedules

Objectives and Tasks

Objective Task
1. Modelilng and analysis of smolt migrations through the river system. a. Formulation of movements of water quality properties.
. b. Develop fish passage in terms of flow and fish behavior as determined by fish experiences and physiology.
. c. Calibration of new elements of the model with new data such as fish growth and stress measures
. d. Model predictions will be validated by comparison with PIT tag studies and radio tracking studies on travel time and survival
2. Analysis and modeling of adult migrations a. Adult passage in terms of flow and fish behavior as determined by fish experiences and physiology
. b. Calibration of fish dam passage and swimming behavior with radio tag data
. c. Predictions will be validated with radio tracking studies (provided by University of Idaho NMFS project) and historical estimates of inter-dam loss
3. Development of a selective stock harvest model a. Implementation of the OSCUR surface current model into the Harvest model framework
. b. Develop the bioenergetic and behavioral components of the ocean migration of salmon and include in the Harvest model
. c. Develop a calibration procedure in a Bayesian analysis framework
4. Real-time analysis of smolt and adult passage a. Maintenance of database and World Wide Web tools for real-time analysis
. b. Model the mixing and movement of gas and temperature distributions using the latest version of the CRiSP 1.x passage model
. c. Model the movement and exposure of smolts to gas, temperature and predators using CRiSP1
. d. Model the movement and exposure of adults to gas, temperature and harvest using the adult passage model
. e. Conduct a post-seasons analysis comparing model forecasts to observed distributions

Objective Schedules and Costs

Objective Start Date End Date Measurable Biological Objectives Milestone FY 2000 Cost %
1 10/01/97 09/01/03 25.0%
2 10/01/97 09/01/02 25.0%
3 10/01/97 09/01/03 25.0%
4 10/01/97 25.0%


Section 5. Estimated Budget Summary

Itemized Budget

Item Note FY 1999 Cost
Personnel $224,806
Fringe $ 51,390
Supplies $ 9,092
Operating $ 19,904
Capital $ 20,410
Travel $ 1,750
Indirect $ 79,594
Subcontractor $ 0
Other $ 4,710
Total Itemized Budget $411,656


Total estimated budget

Total FY 1999 project cost $411,656
Amount anticipated from previously committed BPA Funds $ 0
Total FY 1999 budget request $411,656
FY 1999 forecast from 1998 $ 0
% change from forecast 0.0%


Reason for change in estimated budget

Not applicable


Reason for change in scope

Not applicable


Cost Sharing

Not applicable
 

Outyear Budget Totals

2000 2001 2002 2003
All Phases $400,000 $400,000 $400,000 $400,000
Total Outyear Budgets $400,000 $400,000 $400,000 $400,000
 

Other Budget Explanation

Not applicable


Section 6. References

n/a or no information


Section 7. Abstract

Abstract

The University of Washington provides support to BPA and the region for modeling and evaluation of the impact of Columbia and Snake River hydrosystem operations and salmon recovery plans on fish migration and survival. The work is focused in four areas: 1) river passage of juveniles and adults, 2) harvest, 3) ocean climatic effects on fish survival and 4) within-season real-time management of juvenile downstream passage and adult upstream passage. The goal is to assist the region in developing the ability to identify and assess key alternative hypotheses relating to Columbia River salmon ecosystem dynamics and to move towards stock recovery and rebuilding. This project is relevant in that it will provide tools to conduct a scientific ecosystem-based evaluation of the impacts of specific fish and wildlife program actions. Specific objectives include: development of adult and juvenile passage models, development of a multispecies selective stock harvest model; development of water quality model, within-season analysis of juvenile and adult river passage, and maintenance of a second tier database. The approach is multifaceted involving qualitative descriptions, data statistical correlations, Bayesian maximum likelihood estimation techniques, and mechanistic models. Three models will be completed in the project period: 1) the water quality model, 2) the upstream migration model and 3) the selective stock harvest model. The adult and juvenile in-season management will be implemented through World Wide Web tools. The ability of the in-season projections will be evaluated through a comparison of preseason and within season projections of water quality, and fish passage in a post season analysis comparing predictions to observed measures. The harvest model will be evaluated through calibrations to CWT data.


Reviews and Recommendations

This information was not provided on the original proposals, but was generated during the review process.

This project has not yet been reviewed

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