Return to Proposal Finder FY 2000 Proposal 199600800

Proposal Table of Contents

Additional Documents

Section 1. General Administrative information
Section 2. Past accomplishments
Section 3. Relationships to other projects
Section 4. Objectives, tasks and schedules
Section 5. Budget
Section 6. References
Section 7. Abstract

Reviews and Recommendations
Title Type File Size File Date


Section 1. General Administrative Information

Title of Project Proposal Stufa Participation in a Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses (PATH
BPA Project Proposal Number 199600800
Business name of agency, institution,
or organization requesting funding
Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife
Business acronym (if appropriate) ODFW
 

Proposal contact person or principal investigator

Name Tony Nigro
Mailing Address 2501 SW First Ave.
City, State, Zip Portland, OR 97213
Phone 5036572000
Fax 5038725632
E-mail tony.nigro@state.or.us
 
Manager of program authorizing this project
 
Review Cycle FY 2000
Province Mainstem/Systemwide
Subbasin Systemwide
 
Short Description Test hypotheses underlying key salmon recovery management decisions, develop decision analysis to evaluate alternative management strategies, and assist in designing research, monitoring and adaptive management experiments.
Target Species Columbia Basin salmon and steelhead


Project Location

[No information]


Reasonable and Prudent Alternatives (RPAs)

Sponsor-Reported Relevant RPAs

Sponsor listed no RPAs for this project proposal

Relevant RPAs based upon NMFS & BPA Review

NMFS and BPA did not associate any reasonable and prudent alternatives with this project proposal


NPPC Program Measure Number(s) which this project addresses: 3.2.A, 3.2.F , 4.2a, 4.3, 7.1E
FWS/NMFS Biological Opinion Number(s) which this project addresses: NMFS Hydrosystem BO RPA 13; RPA A17
Other Planning Document References Multi-Species Framework Briefing Nov. 1998: Analytical Approach page 21, NMFS Recovery Plan task 0.3.b and 2.11.b


CBFWA-Generated Information

Database Administrator notes on the history of this proposal form: Contact info updated from Council, 11/10/03
Type of Project (assigned by CBFWA Analysts): anadromous


Section 2. Past Accomplishments

Year Accomplishment
1996 For Snake River salmon clarify management decisions with senior personnel in the major management institutions
1996 Develop hypothesis frameworks and sets of alternative hypotheses relevant to those management decisions
1996 Perform data reconnaissance, acquisition and refinement prior to completion of retrospective analyses of specific hypotheses
1997 For Snake River spring and summer chinook salmon perform detailed retrospective analyses for hypotheses related to hydrosystem, habitat, harvest and hatchery management decisions
1997 Through a series of five workshops involving about 30 research scientists plan retrospective and develop tools for prospective analyses, and reviewed the results of those analyses and their implications for management decisions
1997 Develop new analytical tools (Bayesian probabilistic approach) to assist in decision making framework
1998 Perform and document a Snake River Spring/summer chinook Decision Analysis for hydrosystem management alternatives
1998 Produce and document weight of evidence for key alternative hypotheses which influence decision analysis results
1998 Scientific Review Panel (SRP) charged with assigning weights to key alternative hypotheses and devloping recommendations for future PATH work
1998 Perform weighted decision analysis
1998 Perform and document a Snake River fall chinook Decision Analysis for hydrosystem management alternatives
1998 Assessment of actions on Steelhead
1998 Coordinate PATH work with other regional groups such as the Corps' DREW (economis analysis) and Decision Process Coordinating Group


Section 3. Relationships to Other Projects

Project ID Title Description Umbrella
98 PATH Participation NMFS PATH scientific support No
9303701 Simulation Modeling Participation C. Paulsen PATH scientific support No
8910800 Modeling PATH/ BPA technical support Univ. of Washingto PATH scientific support No
9203200 USFS modeling support PATH scientific support No
9601700 Hydrosystem Work Particiption A. Giorgi PATH scientific support No
20515 Mainstem Columbia River ODFW Umbrella Proposal (region umbrella) Yes
9600600 PATH, Facilitation, Tech Assistance & Peer Review (programatic umbrella) Yes


Section 4. Objectives, Tasks and Schedules

Objectives and Tasks

Objective Task
1. Determine the overall level of support for the key alternative hypotheses, and propose other hypotheses and/or model improvements that are more consistent with existing data. a. Complete retrospective analysis for upper Columbia River salmon and steelhead populations to support NMFS Biological Opinion in March, 2000, and analyses of stock rebuilding plans proposed by Multi-species Framework.
1. b. Initiate retrospective analysis for lower Columbia River salmon and steelhead populations to support NMFS Biological Opinion in March, 2000, and analyses of stock rebuilding plans proposed by Multi-species Framework.
2. Advise regulatory agencies on management actions to restore endangered salmon stocks to self-sustaining levels of abundance a. Complete prospective analyses for upper Columbia River steelhead and salmon populations
2. b. Initiate prospective analyses for lower Columbia River steelhead and salmon populations
2. c. Integrate findings of prospective/decision analyses of spring/summer chinook, fall chinook, and steelhead into overall evaluation of alternative management options.
3. Assess the ability to distinguish among competing hypotheses from future information, and advise agencies on research, monitoring, and adaptive management experiments that would maximize learning a. Modify existing models and develop models to more efficiently evaluate experimental management options.
3. b. Explore feasible range of experimental management options.
3. c. Identify key monitoring needs and the evaluation approach to maximize learning under various experimental management options
3. d. Assist in implemeting monitoring programs (for the 1999 decision) and evaluations which maximize learning for selected experimental management approaches

Objective Schedules and Costs

Objective Start Date End Date Measurable Biological Objectives Milestone FY 2000 Cost %
1 11/01/99 10/01/00 task 1a complete 10.0%
1 11/01/99 10/01/00 task 1b complete 10.0%
2 11/01/99 10/01/00 task 2a complete 10.0%
2 11/01/99 10/01/00 task 2b complete 10.0%
2 11/01/99 10/01/00 task 2c complete 20.0%
3 11/01/99 10/01/00 task 3a&b complete 20.0%
3 11/01/99 10/01/00 task 3c complete 10.0%
3 11/01/99 10/01/00 task 3c initiated 10.0%


Section 5. Estimated Budget Summary

Itemized Budget

Item Note FY 2000 Cost
Personnel NRS4 10 mos, NRS3 8 mos, NRS2 8 mos, Manager 3 mos, Office Asst. 3mos $111,871
Fringe 41% of salary $ 45,867
Supplies Computer Software Miscellanous $ 2,379
Operating Communications Computer Lease $ 4,358
Travel air fare, per diem, lodging, Mileage & Parking for workgroups and workshops $ 4,426
Indirect 35.5% $ 59,959
Subcontractor Columbia Basin Fish and Wildlife Authority(CBFWA) $110,965
Subcontractor U S Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) $ 42,721
Subcontractor Washington Department of Fisheries(WDFW) $122,046
Subcontractor Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission(CRITFC) $125,039
Subcontractor Idaho Department of Fish and Game(IDFG) $115,500
Total Itemized Budget $745,131


Total estimated budget

Total FY 2000 project cost $745,131
Amount anticipated from previously committed BPA Funds $ 0
Total FY 2000 budget request $745,131
FY 2000 forecast from 1999 $ 0
% change from forecast 0.0%


Reason for change in estimated budget

Not applicable


Reason for change in scope

Not applicable


Cost Sharing

Not applicable
 

Outyear Budget Totals

2001 2002 2003 2004
All Phases $745,500 $750,000 $787,500 $787,500
Total Outyear Budgets $745,500 $750,000 $787,500 $787,500
 

Other Budget Explanation

Schedule Constraints: Dependent upon prioritization of assignments by regional policy makers(eg. Executive Committee, Implementation Team); their assignments are influenced by many aspects of decision making process. Unexpected delay in run reconstructions and modeling.


Section 6. References

Reference Watershed?
Barnthouse, L. (ed.), J. Collie, B. Dennis, S. Saila, and C. Walters. 1996. Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses (PATH): First Scientific Review Panel Report. Prepared by ChemRisk Division, McLaren/Hart Environmental Engineering Co., Oak Ridge, TN f No
Barnthouse, L. (ed.), J. Collie, B. Dennis, S. Saila, and C. Walters. 1997. Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses (PATH): Second Scientific Review Panel Report. Prepared by ChemRisk Division, McLaren/Hart Environmental Engineering Co., Oak Ridge, TN No
Beamesderfer, R.C.P., H.A. Schaller, M.P. Zimmerman, C.E. Petrosky, O.P. Langness, and L. LaVoy. in preparation. Spawner-recruit data for spring and summer chinook populations in Idaho, Oregon and Washington. July 1996 Draft Documentation for PATH - Pl No
Langness, O. P. and H. A Schaller. 1996. Contrasting Stock-Recruitment, Harvest, and Upstream Passage Survival Patterns of the Columbia River Stream-Type Chinook Populations. Draft Chapter 13 in: Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses (PATH),Retrosp No
Marmorek, D.P. and I. Parnell (eds.). 1995. Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses (PATH): Information package for Workshop 1 - Design of retrospective analyses to test key hypotheses of importance to management decisions on endangered and threatened C No
Marmorek, D.R, I, Parnell, L. Barnthouse and D.R. Bouillon. 1995. PATH - Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses. Results of a Workshop to Design Retrospective Analyses. Prepared by ESSA Technologies Ltd. Vancouver, BC for Bonneville Power Administratio No
Marmorek, D.R. (ed.)1996. Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses (PATH): Final report on retrospective analyses for fiscal year 1996. Compiled and edited by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Vancouver, B.C. 620 pp. No
Marmorek, D. and C. Peters (editors) and 24 co-authors. 1996. PATH - Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses. Conclusions of FY 96 Retrospective Analyses. Prepared by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Vancouver, B.C. for Bonneville Power Admin., Portland No
Marmorek, D.R. and C. Peters, editors. 1998a. Preliminary decision analysis report on Snake River spring/summer chinook, . Report compiled and edited by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Vancouver BC. No
Marmorek, D.R. and C. Peters, editors. 1998b. Weight of evidence report on Snake River spring/summer chinook. August 1998. Report compiled and edited by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Vancouver BC. No
Marmorek, D.R. and C. Peters, editors. 1998c. PATH Final Report for Fiscal Year 1998 (DRAFT). November 1998. Report compiled and edited by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Vancouver BC. No
Petrosky, C.E. and H.A. Schaller. 1996. Evaluation of survival trends in the freshwater spawning and rearing life stage for Snake River spring/summer chinook. Chapter 9.0 in: Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses (PATH). Final Report on Retrospec No
Petrosky, C. 1997. Steelhead data reconnaisance and run reconstruction. Progress Report for PATH Workshop 5. October 20-23, 1997. 5 p. plus tables and figures. No
Schaller, H.A., C.E. Petrosky and O.P. Langness. 1996. Contrasts in stock recruitment patterns of Snake and Columbia River spring/summer chinook populations. Chapter 3.0 in: Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses (PATH). Final Report on Retrospecti No
Toole, C., A. Giorgi, E. Weber, , W. McConnaha, and anonymous. 1996. Hydro Decision Pathway and Review of Existing Information. Chapter 6.0 in: Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses (PATH). Final Report on Retrospective Analyses for Fiscal Yea No
Wilson, P. and anonymous authors. 1996. PATH: Hatchery Impacts. Chapter 11.0 in: Plan for Analyzing and Testing Hypotheses (PATH). Final Report on Retrospective Analyses for Fiscal Year 1996. Prepared by ESSA Technologies Ltd., Vancouver, B.C. for Bonn No
Wilson, P., E. Weber, C. Petrosky and H. Schaller. 1997. Draft proposed general framework for prospective modeling with detailed examples for one hypothesis about delayed mortality. PATH document, submitted August 1, 1997. No
Wilson, P. and H. Schaller. August 1997. Passage and prospective model linkage. PATH progress report. No
PATH Scientific Review Panel. (Drs. S. Carpenter, J.Collie, S. Saila, C. Walters). 1998. Conclusions and Recommendations from the PATH Weight of Evidence Workshop. September 8-10, 1998. Edited by C. Peters, I. Parnell, D. Marmorek, R. Gregory, T. Eppel. No


Section 7. Abstract

Abstract


Reviews and Recommendations

This information was not provided on the original proposals, but was generated during the review process.

This project has not yet been reviewed

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