Return to Proposal Finder FY 2001 Ongoing Proposal 198910800

Proposal Table of Contents

Additional Documents

Section 1. General Administrative information
Section 2. Past accomplishments
Section 3. Relationships to other projects
Section 4. Budgets for planning/design phase
Section 5. Budgets for construction/implementation phase
Section 6. Budgets for operations/maintenance phase
Section 7. Budgets for monitoring/evaluation phase
Section 8. Budget Summary

Reviews and Recommendations
No documents associated with this request


Section 1. General Administrative Information

Title of Project Proposal Monitor and Evaluate Modeling Support
BPA Project Proposal Number 198910800
Business name of agency, institution,
or organization requesting funding
University of Washington
Business acronym (if appropriate) UW
 

Proposal contact person or principal investigator

Name James J. Anderson
Mailing Address 1325 - 4th Ave., Suite 1820
City, State, Zip Seattle, WA 98101
Phone 2065434772
Fax 2066167452
E-mail jim@fish.washington.edu
 
Manager of program authorizing this project Jim Geiselman, BPA
 
Review Cycle FY 2001 Ongoing
Province Systemwide
Subbasin Mainstem Columbia
 
Short Description Develop models and analyses to test hypotheses underlying key salmon recovery management decisions, apply decision analysis to evaluate alternative management strategies, and assist in designing research, monitoring and adaptive management experiments.
Target Species


Project Location

[No information]


Reasonable and Prudent Alternatives (RPAs)

Sponsor-Reported Relevant RPAs

Sponsor listed no RPAs for this project proposal

Relevant RPAs based upon NMFS & BPA Review

NMFS and BPA did not associate any reasonable and prudent alternatives with this project proposal


Biological Outcomes of this project: The project provides analyses and tools for fisheries managers to better manage fish recovery and to identify critical uncertainties and needs for future research. These tools and analyses will help BPA and fisheries managers in evaluating and improving the effectiveness of actions on specific life stages of fish, particularly management of flow in the mainstem and tributaries, hydrosystem operations, and in-river harvest. The tools and analyses will also help managers in assessing the effects of seasonal temperature patterns on supplementation and will help researchers design and evaluate studies on smolt survival through the estuary.
Biological Data: The success of the analyses involves additional understanding of the critical processes and factors limiting survival in critical life stages. Specific data used for developing, testing and analyzing models include the PIT-tag data from survival studies and transport effectiveness studies, timing and survival of fish in the tributaries, movement and survival of fish in estuary, and spawning behavior of the adults and emergence patterns of the offspring in the tributaries. Individual-based model will use data and information from the literature on fish bioenergetics and water velocity modeling from the Battelle NW and others.


CBFWA-Generated Information

Database Administrator notes on the history of this proposal form: None
Type of Project (assigned by CBFWA Analysts): anadromous


Section 2. Past Accomplishments

Year Accomplishment
1995 The Mainstem passage and Adult Harvest models, CRiSP.1 and CRiSP.2 were completed and calibrated. Theory and calibration manuals were prepared.
Participated in in-season database development. Began analyzing the impact of ocean conditions on smolt survival.
1996 Revised and recalibrated CRiSP.1 and CRiSP.2. Successfully ported CRiSP.2 from Unix platform to Windows 95, making it more accessible to the public. Revised manuals for both models.
Expanded our in-season database that gave regional fisheries community real-time access to river and fish passage conditions through the World Wide Web. Provided real-time projections of fish passage for various stocks at sites
in the Snake and Columbia Rivers. Published daily predictions on the World Wide Web. Continued the impact of ocean analysis.
1997 Improved DART web database. Completed manual update for CRiSP.2 for the on-line help. Released CRiSP.2 Windows NT/95 and an alpha version of CRiSP.1 for Windows NT/95.
Continued a combined effort between CRiSP and Real-Time (developed under Dr. John Skalski) to provide real-time projections of fish passage for various stocks. Implemented web based gas predictions for in-season management of the
impacts of the hydrosystem on gas levels in the river.
1998 Added new gas mortality algorithms to the CRiSP1.6 smolt passage model. Updated the survival calibration tool for CRiSP 1.6. Updated in-season and post-season analyses.
Maintained and monitored Columbia Basin Research (CBR) web pages and answered requested information from the public as they are received.
1999 Completed development and calibration of CRiSP1.6 model. Updated user's manual for CRiSP1.6 and made it accessible to the public (www.cbr.washington.edu).
Continued to publish daily predictions of gas levels and smolt passage on the web page (www.cbr.washington.edu).
Began development of CRiSP1.7 to include smolt growth algorithms.
Updated PIT-Tag datafiles for calibrations.
Performed in-season analysis including pre-season forecasts, updating in-season migration & post-season analysis. Provided World Wide Web access to our literature database, including a searchable index of reports, papers, and
other technical documents relevant to salmon issues in the Pacific Northwest. Provided support to PATH analyses. Continued to answer numerous questions received from the public.
Released user manual for the CRiSP 1.6 passage model.
Updated COAST Harvest life cycle model as replacement for the CRiSP 2 harvest model.
Provided analysis of the impact of harvest on endangered stocks using the COAST harvest model.
Published scientific paper on growth and emergence of salmon fry. North American J. of Aquaculture, 61: 126-134. 1999.
Published a paper relating fish and fleet behavior to fishery stability. Natural Resource Modeling, 12(2). 1999.
2000 Published paper on vitality based survival model. Ecological Monographs, 71(2) 2000.
Published a chapter in the book. Chapter's title: Decadal Climate Cycles and Declining Columbia River Salmon. CRC Press 2000.
Developed and improved tools for database analysis javaDART (http://www.cbr.washington.edu/dart/javadart/index.html).
Released Theory Calibration manual for CRiSP passage model.
Submitted for publication a paper on the effects of temperature on spawning success.


Section 3. Relationships to Other Projects

n/a or no information


Section 4. Budget for Planning and Design Phase

Task-based Budget

n/a or no information


Outyear Objective-Based Budget

n/a or no information


Outyear Budgets for Planning and Design Phase

n/a or no information


Section 5. Budget for Construction and Implementation Phase

Task-based Budget

n/a or no information


Outyear Objective-Based Budget

n/a or no information


Outyear Budgets for Construction and Implementation Phase

n/a or no information


Section 6. Budget for Operations and Maintenance Phase

Task-based Budget

n/a or no information


Outyear Objective-Based Budget

n/a or no information


Outyear Budgets for Operations and Maintenance Phase

n/a or no information


Section 7. Budget for Monitoring and Evaluation Phase

Task-based Budget

Objective Task Duration in FYs Estimated 2001 cost Subcontractor
1. Juvenile passage a. CRiSP 1.7 smolt passage model $ 25,000  
b. Migration rate analysis publication $ 25,000  
c. Analysis and publication of drawdown using individual-based model (IBM) $ 25,000  
d. Analysis and publication of smolt growth dynamics $ 25,000  
e. Publication of effects of flow on smolt survival $ 25,000  
2. Adult passage a. Model upstream passage including harvest and straying as factors $ 25,000  
b. Application of upstream model for in-season analysis $ 25,000  
3. Smolt estuary passage a. Begin development of individual-based model of smolt movement in estuary. $ 35,000  
b. Apply existing estuary hydrodynamic model to estuary IBM $ 25,000  
4. Fry emergence model a. Complete publication of spawning/emergence dynamics paper for Methow River $ 15,000  
b. Apply the spawning/emergence model to Snake River chinook $ 30,000  
5. In-Season analysis a. Preseason forecast $ 30,000  
b. In-season forecast $ 30,000  
c. Post-season analysis $ 30,000  
6. Life cycle/Harvest model a. Graduate student begins study to model ocean variability in harvest model $ 25,000  
b. Begin development of fish conditions and genetic characteristics in model $ 30,000  
c. Develop hatchery-wild fish genetic interaction in model $ 30,000  
d. Evaluate interaction of hatcheries and wild stocks in terms of genetics and harvest $ 25,000  
7. Disease Modeling a. Publication of analysis of thesis work on disease $ 20,000  
b. Develop protocols for experiments on disease management $ 25,000  
8. Support ESA & NPPC processes a. CRI support and review $ 40,000  
b. EDT support and review $ 25,000  
9. Project support a. Computer system support $ 50,000  
b. Information support $ 35,000  
c. Project management $ 85,000  


Outyear Objective-Based Budget

n/a or no information


Outyear Budgets for Monitoring and Evaluation Phase

FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2002 FY 2003
$854,897 $889,093 $790,400 $822,016


Section 8. Estimated Budget Summary

Itemized Budget

Item Note FY 2001 Cost
Personnel FTE: 12 mo. salaries for PI, adm. asst., 3 scientists, 2gradstds, system adm, computer support, programmer $397,000
Fringe Standard UW benefit rates $ 88,000
Supplies $ 20,000
Travel Trips to attend meetings in Oregon & other regional conferences. $ 5,000
Indirect 26% of Modified total direct costs $140,000
Other Services, Lease, & Tuition fees for 6 quarters $110,000
Total Itemized Budget $760,000


Total estimated budget

Total FY 2001 project cost $760,000
Amount anticipated from previously committed BPA Funds $ 0
Total FY 2001 budget request $760,000
FY 2001 forecast from 2000 $763,000
% change from forecast - 0.4%


Reason for change in estimated budget

Previous funding for FY2000 was spread over three contracts. These are combined into one contract for FY 2001 resulting in savings.


Reason for change in scope

Not applicable


Cost Sharing

Not applicable
 

Outyear Budget Totals

2002 2003 2004 2005
Monitoring and evaluation $790,400 $822,016 $854,897 $889,093
Total Outyear Budgets $790,400 $822,016 $854,897 $889,093
 

Other Budget Explanation

Not applicable


Reviews and Recommendations

This information was not provided on the original proposals, but was generated during the review process.

This project has not yet been reviewed

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