BPA Fish and Wildlife FY 1997 Proposal

Section 1. Administrative
Section 2. Narrative
Section 3. Budget

see CBFWA and BPA funding recommendations

Section 1. Administrative

Title of project
Hydro Regulator Model Development

BPA project number   5506100

Business name of agency, institution or organization requesting funding
Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission

Sponsor type   CRITFC

Proposal contact person or principal investigator
 NameTom Cross
 Mailing address729 NE Oregon, Suite 200
Portland, OR 97232
 Phone503/238-0667

BPA technical contact   , EWI

Biological opinion ID   

NWPPC Program number   

Short description
The Hydro Regulator is a PC based model capable of modeling dam operations in the Columbia and Snake Rivers allowing the operator to perform independent analysis of various flow and storage criteria and plot comparitive studies.

Project start year   1996    End year   1998

Start of operation and/or maintenance   1997

Project development phase   Implementation

Section 2. Narrative

Related projects

Project history

Biological results achieved

Annual reports and technical papers

Management implications

Specific measureable objectives
To model system operations accurately and independently to determine the best use of water leading toward restoration of anadromous fish in the Columbia and Snake systems. This includes modeling the Tribal Recovery Plan and comparing with other system operation plans.

Testable hypothesis
System operations can be modified to meet the water needs of the anadromous fish.

Underlying assumptions or critical constraints
Modification of the operational contraints (flood control, power, navigation, plant characteristics, storage agreements, etc) inherent in current models will identify modified system operations leading to the restoration of anadromous fish populations.

Methods
Currently, FCRPS Hydro Regulator model is in beta testing and consists of two parts - the internal model written in Fortran and the library or comparative study manager written in CA-Realizer using the Windows interface.
Development has been done on two Pentium class personal computers - one for code development the other for verification and confidence testing.
By using a third computer and one FTE to apply structured application development techniques and manage the development process, the final release of the FCRPS Hydro Regulator model will be tested, debugged, documented and distributed.

Brief schedule of activities
1996-1997 Complete analysis and testing of model variables and project parameters
Modify model output capabilities (graphs and output support)
Increase internal operating environment of model (array size, etc.)
Complete incorporatation of 60 water year depletion levels
Peer review of model including comparison with other existing models

1997-1998 Revise code to model Snake River operations
Decrease time steps from monthly to weekly
Revise model to simulate time-delay in water routing
Develop input data manipulation tools (flood control curves, FELCC, etc.)
Peer review of model including comparison with other existing models

1999-2000 Integrate an economic analysis model

Biological need
Model operation will lead to restoration of stocks as needed to honor tribal treaty fishing rights.

Critical uncertainties
The ability to prioritize water use in a manner not presently possible with existing system models.

Summary of expected outcome
Long range outcome will be the ability to select a combination of actions that will help to restore the fishery resource.

Dependencies/opportunities for cooperation
This work is based, in part, on a Memorandum of Agreement betweent the Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission and the Bureau of Reclamation. Eventually the assistance of other agencies using other models will be solicited to conduct comparative analysis.

Risks
N/A

Monitoring activity
Using the model, compare system operations as prescribed in the Tribal Recovery Plan with other plans for salmon restoration.

Section 3. Budget

Data shown are the total of expense and capital obligations by fiscal year. Obligations for any given year may not equal actual expenditures or accruals within the year, due to carryover, pre-funding, capitalization and difference between operating year and BPA fiscal year.

Historic costsFY 1996 budget data*Current and future funding needs
(none) New project - no FY96 data available 1997: 92,000
1998: 92,000
1999: 92,000

* For most projects, Authorized is the amount recommended by CBFWA and the Council. Planned is amount currently allocated. Contracted is the amount obligated to date of printout.

Funding recommendations

CBFWA funding review group   Mainstem

Recommendation    Tier 1 - fund

Recommended funding level   $92,000

BPA 1997 authorized budget (approved start-of-year budget)   $92,000